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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. I know it's so wrong, but every time read it...
  2. My school source got this one wrong. We thought the 2-hour delay made no sense, so at least they didn't go through with that stupidity.
  3. I'm not sure why people are giving you such a hard time. No...it doesn't matter whether there's going to be an advisory or whatever. If you just look at the discussion you'll see that it's starting to look like an advisory-level event, and we should expect that some sort of advisories will be posted sometime today.
  4. Tracker is 1 for 2 on recent threads. Not good enough.
  5. 2-hour delay, virtual, then the scheduled early release. Book it.
  6. I love how Snoopy actually eats the bones in this. Like...just crushes them as if they're crackers. Bone after bone after bone.
  7. But there's a vort just behind it that looks to take advantage of the path that first vort laid down. The second (and some other pieces of energy flying around) goes negative in a pretty decent spot. Looks like it's not far from going boom as the northern stream energy swings in from behind.
  8. Good call. Too bad it's not for the Friday-Saturday event...which also sucks on the GFS.
  9. I think the January 21-22 threat has now flatlined.
  10. NAM is just a wave riding the front. Wish the front would slow the F down now.
  11. GFS has that ridiculous 959mb inland bomb around the same timeframe in yesterday's 18z run. Definitely a timeframe to watch. I think PSU mentioned the other day that around that time as another window of interest.
  12. And the energy in the southwest is a little east. Subtle changes that hopefully don’t ultimately result in little change at the surface like has been the case so many times in the last week.
  13. Was about to say the same. SW energy is moving out and the northern stream is digging *just* a bit more.
  14. Can confirm that they’ve already closed Friday. And Monday.
  15. I agree with you, but remember what we said about the Sunday deal? Small, better changes that were offset by other changes that were worse, and also that the ultimate solution didn’t seem plausible. It’s just that this thing is sliding rather than a wound-up bomb.
  16. It's so frustrating. Like you said earlier, it's one step forward...but I'm thinking one step back. It's not getting worse (except the Euro) - it just refuses to get better. Why can't we get this thing to run NNW from 75miles off Hatteras? Did it before, so it should do it again. Right? It's the least we deserve.
  17. The storm on the 12z GFS at 252 is right where we want it.
  18. I was thinking the same. If that dig in the northern stream combined with even a modestly better ejection of the SW energy than the GFS did, then it would be much better around these parts.
  19. I wouldn't be surprised if the SW shortwave were dug in a little more at initialization compared to at 12 hours on 00z.
  20. I literally fist-pumped when I woke up and looked at the 00z Euro...then switched to the 06z GFS, which Hindenburged my 10 seconds of euphoria. If the 12z Euro doesn't slide off the coast, I'm going to lose it.
  21. The Euro is about to get its arse handed to it.
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