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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. mattie g
    We don’t need blocking for snow. We need blocking for big snow, but if we have cold air and some semblance of a southern stream, we can get light to moderate events coming at us from the southwest.
  2. mattie g
    I think of myself as self-taught.
  3. mattie g
    I see -PNA. Likely to be El Nino next year when +PNA turns - in February and early end to winter. This is how it happens.
  4. mattie g
    Pretty sure I'm dealing with a kidney stone right now. Pain came on suddenly about 90 minutes ago. It's f'ing miserable.
  5. mattie g
    Pouring rain on screaming southerlies all the way into northern New England.
  6. mattie g
    As the last few frames came out, I thought I heard - albeit faintly - the sounds of a sad trombone somewhere off in the distance...
  7. mattie g
    Don't do that. I'm only looking pivotal and it's not out that far.
  8. mattie g
    Banana high over the top...
  9. mattie g
    I wanted to pop in here to say that I feel like I've learned a lot so far this winter. Maybe it's because we've had plenty of threats to track in the last 3-4 weeks and that I have a good internet connection due to working from home ( ), but I've found myself doing a lot less initial analysis based on the surface depictions and much more at the upper levels.
  10. mattie g
    Northern stream vort on the Euro is moving a bit more east than the 12z GFS did. Edit: At 168 is starts to drive south. Lots of energy swinging in around the back side.
  11. mattie g
    Looks like it might be about a day faster than the 12z GFS.
  12. mattie g
    What were you expecting? It's only out through like 140.
  13. mattie g
    There's a legit block though. The main issue I could see is that there is an area of lower heights in the Great Lakes area that the storm could try to move towards. If that block folds back over the top/shifts just slightly west, I can't see it cutting.
  14. mattie g
    Even if there's no chance it'll go down anything like that, it was a freaking wild run. Really fun to look at.
  15. mattie g
    There's some sort of energy (polar vort?) swinging around the back side of that northern stream wave. That energy looks about to interact with the vort over Georgia. Timing and all that, but I cant help but think the atmosphere just wants to explode.
  16. mattie g
    The surface low is in SC at the end of the run. Precip only barely in our area.
  17. mattie g
    One day later than the GFS. Just means the atmosphere is primed.
  18. mattie g
    Only a day difference, so it's really the same setup and timeframe. All this says is that the pattern is ripe for a bomb.
  19. mattie g
    I notice things. Not sure why that is, but I'm one of those people who doesn't have many an original idea, but I have a knack for observing and commenting.
  20. mattie g
    12z yesterday had a 957mb bomb about 60 miles off the southern Delmarva. Dropped 25"+ from central NC up through the Peninsula region and up into southern MD.
  21. mattie g
    I popped into the SE forum to see if they've started a thread for the upcoming biblical Sou'easter and noticed that there's a long-time, but infrequent, poster named Jonah who is from Cumming, GA.
  22. mattie g
    Come on...we all know that biblical Sou'easters happen regularly.
  23. mattie g
    Has the Southeast forum started a thread yet?
  24. mattie g
    That's just shingles.
  25. mattie g
    But seriously...dafuq happened to the 06z GFS?
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