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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. mattie g
    If only the JMA didn't suck.
  2. mattie g
    I came in to mention that it's looking like a good amount of moisture will be coming at us from the southwest. If we get under a decent cold dome, we could absolutely score.
  3. mattie g
    That's all I was focusing on. That thing closed off and neither opened nor jumped quickly to Montauk. I understand the talk of caution and all that, but if there's one thing I'm taking away from this run it's the timing of the phase and that closed low. OK...I guess that was two things, but still.
  4. mattie g
  5. mattie g
    Exactly my thinking. All models have been getting us into some fluffy stuff on Friday night regardless of what happens down the line. If those of us west of the bay-ish accept that snow from the coastal is a long shot, that's a really nice situation to be in.
  6. mattie g
    I'd have been quite out on this storm had yesterday's 12z Canadian not dropped 8-12" on MBY. Not going to be upset if I can score 2" or so of dendrites from the northern stream energy before the storm bombs, but I've exactly zero expectations for getting snow from the coastal.
  7. mattie g
    Gotta love the NAM's closed ridge over NW Nevada and eastern Oregon at 72.
  8. mattie g
    https://webb.nasa.gov/content/observatory/sunshield.html
  9. mattie g
    From what I’ve read, the sunshield is meant to keep the actual body of the telescope shielded from the sun so that the lens and other fun stuff can remain super cold, which is necessary for proper performance.
  10. mattie g
    I think I scrape 0.7” with the light stuff before the storm bombs pretty far ENE of us.
  11. mattie g
    Not going to lose sleep over this run. Just way too different at H5 than the 12z suite overall.
  12. mattie g
    Decently similar to the 12z CMC.
  13. mattie g
    I don't think it would have. Things have moved slightly in our favor, but I think it needs to continue to warrant an update.
  14. mattie g
    Got it. I was thinking much in the same way, but your description helped clarify it - particularly the parts about more amplified waves and greater baroclinicity.
  15. mattie g
    Absolutely mindblowing what we can do in space. Launch a satellite whose destination is a million miles away, and do it with precision. I mean...that's not even to mention the whole notion of using the gravity of other planets as slingshots, but needing to hit those locations at precise moments. Just ridiculous stuff.
  16. mattie g
    Given that I don't know a lot, I'm happy that you said this because I was thinking the exact same thing. When I saw that energy diving down the backside of the vort, I thought it was going to 1) close off and 2) go boom. First thing happened at hour 120, but it only did the second as the energy kind of jumped northeast off Nantucket at 126. When I that 126 panel came in, I went from 12 to 6 pretty quickly.
  17. mattie g
    Except that it doesn't.
  18. mattie g
    Question: Why is it that Miller Bs (seem to) have much more explosive development than Miller As? Is it because, at their core, they are two distinctly different storm types?
  19. mattie g
    Been showing up on a lot of the recent runs. 06z Icon snows for 6-10 hours with that.
  20. mattie g
    I hope your wife's months worth of planning falls to sh*t due to a snowstorm.
  21. mattie g
  22. mattie g
    I agree. There comes a point when the general look on models is consistent enough to know when you’re out of the game. The changes in smaller details that always happen simply won’t make a difference to the weather in your backyard.
  23. mattie g
    Exactly. They make it sounds like winter is over within a couple weeks. Just a dumb statement from an official source.
  24. mattie g
    That’s an awful end to that disco.
  25. mattie g
    I’m going to be honest here… I know you’re a young chap, but your posts have gotten a lot worse in the last few weeks. Take that for whatever it’s worth.
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