mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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What these guys said.
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Thursday is going to suck an egg.
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Methinks someone saw the 12z CMC.
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Exactly the same in Fairfax County. The kids are in school until June 16 as it is, so extending the year would be incredibly disruptive. On topic: Yay freezing ran and sleet.
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Very interesting to see the trend in colder temps at the surface and even at 850 as the day progresses on Thursday. 850s don't matter in the end in my neighborhood, but it's definitely neat to see.
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Do chasers chase in winter?
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Same in Fairfax County. Really wouldn't make any sense in the grand scheme of things. Funny how when I was a kid it was all up to the individual schools - public or private - to make the call on whether to have a snow day!
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Shocked to hear that coming from you.
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It does, but we (I) could use some sun.
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That's OK. I'm not going to worry about the details of the Canadian at Day 10. Strom? Check. Cold air flooding into North America? Check. All good for now.
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I'm really surprised that you're taking the pessimistic route.
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I was looking at that, and I could tell that something was amiss, but I honestly don't have the skillz to really identify - and especially explain - the hows and whys things happen the way they do. I found it interesting that there were two storms nearly back to back, whereas previous runs squashed that initial wave. Again...I think I know why that happened, but my explanation would probably suck.
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I actually think we're on the way up again. There's a storm with tons of moisture and a lot of cold air around. The potential is there, which I think is something we should be cautiously excited about.
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I need Christmas purrn.
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And then it rains on us for Christmas. That's more likely. Basically it does the same thing as 18z yesterday, except it's 24 hours later and without the snow.
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Delay for slop. Just like schools.
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Miller A icefest. Somehow I don't think it goes down like that.
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Fairfax County gets five actual snow days. Any days beyond that will be synchronous virtual learning days (two-hour delays). It would be suck if the kids were to get a day off for some mixed bullshit, but I honestly don't see that happening. maybe a delay, but definitely not a day off.
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Unless that thing gets squashed, then Amity is in for a smashing.
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But it finds a way to get a storm rolling in Texas/the Gulf at nearly the same time as it did yesterday. Good patterns somehow find a way...
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There's a vort that drops down the California coast and ends up in about the same spot as our vort did at 18z yesterday, but things look different up top. Lots of confluence, cold air is getting established, and then things get their act together along the Gulf...
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12z GFS is trying to set up a storm on the 21st-22nd now. Problem is that we have a Great Lakes Low and heights are high out in front of the storm and we don't have cold air in place. Northern vort never drops in and phases with the southern energy, so touthern low just slides off the coast after a little bit of frozen precip. So different than the look just 18 hours ago. I mean...not even close.
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Yup. Now I'm just waiting for WinterWxLuvr to come in and tell us that we need precip first!
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This is what weenies like me need to focus on. That storm sets the stage for what happens after it, so until it's come and gone we're going to see some fluctuations in what the models show for this period of interest. We watch and wait and teeter on the edge of despair.
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No it doesn't.
