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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. mattie g
    Some of us who have been around for a long time just don't care to hear the constant negatives even if we know what the reality is. I'd personally rather look at and discuss the potential positives with the knowledge that it probably won't pan out than be told over and over and over that we need everything to go absolutely f*cking perfectly or else we're toast...and even then we're probably toast.
  2. mattie g
    Thanks! My few hundredths of an inch of rain has the juices flowing!
  3. mattie g
    This f*cking place, man. I hate reading all the goddamn gloom and doom, but I've been doing it for long that it's just a regular part of my day in the winter. I'm looking forward to spring and summer when things slow down and no one is debbing the hell out of the forum on a 12 times per day basis.
  4. mattie g
    Good to see the bears and deer in Mineral County getting in on the action!
  5. mattie g
    Because there's no way to reliably provide a long-term "forecast" without looking back at the historical data to see how things played out during periods with similar teleconnections. It would basically be impossible.
  6. mattie g
    I look at them, but only for the laughs.
  7. mattie g
    Gotta love it! WEATHER53's "old-fashioned" way of forecasting is in the mud.
  8. mattie g
    @WxUSAF...at 306 on the 12z GFS, the 1009L is about to bully that 1051H. You just wait and see.
  9. mattie g
    It has shifted NW to SE from one run to the next over the last few runs. DO NOT WORRY ABOUT OP RUN DETAILS AT THIS RANGE.
  10. mattie g
    Just fucking stop. FFS.
  11. mattie g
  12. mattie g
    ...they stole our snow.
  13. mattie g
    But how long as this "new base state" been the norm? And what is the cause of this state (not CC, but the actual surface cause)? And what's to say that this "new base state" will remain in perpetuity? ORH said something really profound in one of the New England threads yesterday. It was incredibly simple, but really said a lot:
  14. mattie g
    Two days before our third consecutive rainstorm. That's not happening.
  15. mattie g
    9.5" of mashed potatoes IMBY with lots of limbs down in the neighborhood (including the holly in my front yard). Really fun storm that was followed four days later with 2.75" of snow on snow.
  16. mattie g
    No way DCA verifies anywhere close to that. There's a reason that the majority of all the DC winter record lows are from 90+ years ago. The site of that station simply won't allow for it, but if we get decent snowcover and relatively calm winds, it could at least threaten record lows there. But get a little bit outside the real UHI and we could see some negative temps if it all comes together.
  17. mattie g
    It was a great game, but I'm a Spurs fan, so...
  18. mattie g
    What's interesting is that the thicknesses aren't all that impressive, but the lower-level cold push is killer. Really nice to see a system arrive as cold air is pressing...and that is some serious fresh cold.
  19. mattie g
    Soundings look good IYBY starting at 246
  20. mattie g
    I couldn't give a shit about any other sport except for soccer (and when the Eagles are good), and this is the time when soccer ramps up like crazy. Love it!
  21. mattie g
    Not necessarily. I'd say it's more likely we get cold for a few days, then the next 1000mb Low that arrives will bully a 1058 High out of southeastern Quebec and we'll end up with cold rain.
  22. mattie g
    Pretty morning around here. Sun is out and drying up some of the wet pavement already!
  23. mattie g
    No drinking until next weekend, so please hold off on the ban until then.
  24. mattie g
    I kid, I kid...
  25. mattie g
    You sound like my mom.
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