mattie g

Got a few flurries in Burke right now.

Someone snipped and quoted a post of his, if what you’re referring to is what I think it is. Not really a good way to have gone about it - really was taken out of context.

No doubt that plenty have just been observing and commenting, but I feel like the “bad” looks draw a lot more doom-and-gloom observations than do good looks get “it’s happening” ones. Of course, that’s pretty much driven by the absolutely shite years we’ve had recently - recency bias and the associated gun shy-ness, so I get it. I’m just being a smartass more than anything.

Also, this time last week we had well-respected posters honking on the upcoming look. Now it’s a dumpster fire. What’s it going to be this time next week? Stay tuned...

Can we please stop quoting Ji? Thanks.

FlASh FrEeZe!!1!

Christmas morning and noontime with mood flakes. I guess I shouldn’t complaint ...right?

Not gonna lie...that band of snow by Fredericksburg that was modeled to be over MBY for the last day of HRRR runs is making my Christmas as a little blue!

So I guess we’re suffering the effects of subsidence. Ugh...

Legit flizzard in Burke. Looking forward to it transitioning to light snow...

I saw three pixie flakes about 10 minutes ago in Burke. Looking forward to a few more miracle dendrites!

Apparently the cutter crew doesn’t GAF about the Euro weeklies.

BCBS is so good every year. 2020 is awesome, unsurprisingly. Dropped Jolly by Crooked Run earlier, then followed up with a couple double/triple IPAs. Maybe a good idea, maybe not, but I don’t care either way!

F your sister, too.

Come on, man. We’ve been at this for years. And I even threw in an emoji! Merry Christmas!

So much cooking happening that I turned the AC on.

F your sister.

How’s the correlation coefficient looking?

Really curious to see the results of that prime rib, @BristowWx! I’ve never cooked one before, but if I did I’d probably go low and slow and then reverse sear on the Big Green Egg. Wife whipped up a bunch of cookies yesterday and presents were prepped last night, so today will be about the kitchen for me. Will be making my lobster bisque, as well as getting brioche dough together. Will also be prepping various appetizer-type dishes for tonight’s “apps and scraps” dinner. Probably looking at T-minus 6 hours until first beer...

It’s kind of amusing that this thread has become a walk down memory lane rather than discussion of the incredibly exciting Christmas Eve rain and frontal passage.

Congrats PA?

I see what you did there (I think).

I think this is the best place to put this... I think the reason that there have been so many comments about the progged look not being ideal is because there are many of us (me included) who can recognize that classic look but who can't recognize a general good pattern in which we can score. There are other (like you, psu) who can recognize those "workable" patterns because you've researched them over the years, but the rest of us can't recognize or don't understand the nuances of those decent looks. If we don't see a ridge on the west coast, a 50/50 low, and a big, red blob in the NAO domain then we assume that it's not a good enough look for snow...or it's a look in which we are very likely to fail. Anyways, thanks for the work you put into this. Your skills as both a hobbyist and a teacher really come through when explaining what does or doesn't constitute a pattern that can bring us snow.