mattie g

11/21: T (grauplets) 11/22: T (SnowTV for an hour or so, followed by drizzle) 12/1: T (on-and-off small snow showers for about an hour)

I've always thought that the Euro was a decent model. Let's roll with that one.

I think I can…and I think that DC is going to get blasted this season (but that feeling wont be reflected in my entry).

Agreed. Pretty awful day, but I’m not upset at it happening like this before Thanksgiving. This happening in January would be maddening. That said, I hit some balls at the range at lunchtime while flakes were falling, which was kind of cool.

No frozen under those decent returns in Burke.

Might have preferred it so we can get ready to head out of town tomorrow!

Wet snow in Burke. My daughters will be thrilled when they look out the windows at school!

My 7-year-old has been saying for the last 24 hours that it's going to snow here today. If she sees a few flakes falling, she's going to be thrilled (I'll be happy, too...especially for her). Don't give a sh*t if it sticks or not!

Popped in here this morning during the bright sunshine in my corner of Fairfax County to see this thread had blown up. I was honestly unsure why, then I looked at the radar, We had just come out of a local production of The Nutcracker a couple miles away from our house and there was definitely some frozen sloppish stuff coming down along with rain. Not sure if it was doing the same at home, but I might have to record a Trace. lol

I'll take my 0.1-0.2" and call it a month.

We're going to Wisp with a few other families the weekend of the first full week of February. We did the same last year between Christmas and the New Year...and it sucked. I mean...we had fun, but the conditions were truly awful. Watching the webcams now and really hoping we get into some good fun while we're there. I suppose that, if nothing else, we'll at least have some snow on the ground and more than half the lifts will be open!

Same. Should be pretty nice weather for the holiday, though. I love having the windows open and getting to chill outside on Thanksgiving day. Kinda sucks being stuck inside with a bunch of people on a shitty weather day...

I must have misunderstood the year references. It's tough to tell if someone means 2013-2014 if they just say one or the other.

2013-2014 was well above normal snowfall in DC/Baltimore.

Pretty much all leaves are down here and I’ve done a few big pickups, so not a huge deal. I’ll probably do one final mulching mow after getting back from Thanksgiving and call it a season!

^^ It's really nice to see precip and cold in tandem now in the medium-ish range. Like really, really nice. Do I want it to snow? Of course...but it's still *really* early and even a very cold rain at the very beginning of December is a good omen, IMO.

No doubt that we're far, far, far better off with where we are now than with staring down a pig Pacific jet barreling into the West Coast all the way from Japan at 350mph. That shit is the suck. I'm coming into this winter with absolutely zero expectations and an acceptance that something (and I'm not necessarily hinting at CC) that we don't have a full handle of is/are THE driving force(s) behind so many people being wrong about seasonal forecasting in the last few years. We really can't do much worse than we have recently and I'm a big believer in the rubber band theory, so I don't think that persistence is the way to look at this coming winter. I suppose this is just a roundabout way of saying that any seasonal forecast I might have is based on "feels," which I realize wouldn't satisfy many around here.

Not only that, but plenty of recent runs have been showing potential in and around the first week of December. Even in the likely case that we don’t snow then, we’re getting hints that we might not be DOA this winter.

Yeah...50s with showers seems like perfect picnic weather!

There's a spot in a county park near me where the path drops maybe 8-10' as it turns along a creek and it's very often noticeably cooler than on the path before you make that drop. There's another little hill with a 12-15' incline right around the corner, so I think any cool air bleeds down and collects in an area with little to no air movement. It's a pretty cool little feature!

Around .45" here, per closest stations. Super raw day yesterday, though. It was pretty awful, even if we need the rain.

I have to drive my daughter to dance at 7:45. To say that I'm not happy about not being able to partake in multiple bourbons tonight would be an understatement.

...with a nearly perfect ridge axis out west and a 50/50 low.

This is *everything* that this thread is about. I can't thank you enough for posting it, Will!

BWI: 14.3" DCA: 9.2" IAD: 16.7" RIC: 9.9" Tiebreaker SBY: 8.6"