mattie g

It dropped 50” in South Jersey a few weeks ago.

Thanks! No filters or anything…and honestly it was a lot sharper before compression. One or two others have even more contrast. Super cool to just see live. We get a lot of rainbows looking in that general direction after thunderstorms, as well. Really neat perspective.

Here’s a picture I took after the main squall. Sun was out to the southwest and reflecting off the snow-pasted trees to the east. Honestly one of the cooler things I’ve seen and I can’t recall seeing something similar before. I have a few other really cool pictures, but this is one I compressed…

Second band split as it approached and we only got a few flurries, but that main squall was pretty f’ing cool. Nice to get a relative surprise and the first accumulating snow (~0.5”) of the season!

Slowing down now, but it was fattie heaven for a while after those chucks whitened everything up. Bring me that second squall line out near Front Royal!

This is crazy. No thunder since the precip started, but these are the biggest chunks of graupel-like stuff I've ever seen. Everything is covered and it all got covered immediately!

Rumbling really good in Burke. Precip on the doorstep!

Had a few wet flakes in Burke about 30 minutes ago. Waiting on that squall to swing through in a bit...

That ULL piece has really only become a focus in the last 36-48 hours or so. Not that it wasn't there before, but we're starting to see a real potential upside with that high-ratio fluff. We tend to finish well with that - whether with good rates and ratios or just a prolonging of precip to put a nice coating on the snow that's already fallen.

A line of latitude from Fredericksburg to Baltimore has pretty much been in the bullseye (with wobbles being accounted for). It's really not changed much, so this stripe of heaviest precip makes sense. CMC has been striping MBY pretty good, so I love seeing the consistency continue into this suite. We'll see some more adjustments between now and gametime, but at this point I'd be really surprised if Winchester/DC/Baltimore missed out on the goodest of goods (hopefully I don't eat those words). I know I've said this before, but I have a feeling that someone near the Mason Dixon or around Fredericksburg will be a little disappointed simply because of the relatively narrow stripe of higher totals.

We went with a few other families last year between Christmas and the New Year. Conditions absolutely sucked . Going again this year February 6-9 and expecting he conditions to *slightly* better than last year.

That vort stays south and it could bring some really heavy, fluffy snows with it on the backside.

It's frigid at 750 and we just barely lose the column at 850 at hour 81 while the surface stays cold. Looks like we'd snizzle at that point and then go back to snow after the coastal takes over.

I better f*cking not be in the goddamn grey. Thanks... Edit: Just saw that tracker said the same an hour ago.

I'm not sure why there's so much talk of the models shifting so horribly. The swath of decent snow for this system is what...maybe 150 miles wide? Excepting the crazy GFS run last night, most are shifting like 25 miles north/south from run to run (so 50-ish miles total) and have been for days. That's incredible accuracy. People on the fringes may think otherwise (and it's easy for me to say this because I'm squarely in the goalposts), but in reality the models have been pretty amazing on this.

It’s going to change every run and we’ll be going through the highs and lows for the next 9-10 days with this thing. We’ll get blasted one run about four days out and then it’ll rain on us the next, which will end with us reaching for Jim Jones’s happy juice. You know it. I know it. We all know it.

I love and hate this place in equal measure.

lol ICON

It's probably because the HRRR and NAM are awful for tis stuff and you know better.

Right? I'm calling it now...mid-month triple phaser.

That's what my previous project did, but now there's talk of in-office with the option for remote flexibility when needed. This, despite my team proving to be more productive since we went remote. Same old story pretty much everywhere, but we gotta prop up the commercial real estate moguls!

Same for Fairfax County...

Sounds about the same as me!

I'm on a government contract, but as I had mentioned our contract specifically states that we work from "contractor site." The government can't say that "contractor site" means an actual office, nor can it track whether people are in an office even if they wanted to. My company has no desire to spend the money on more office space, though we do have offices around the country now, but not nearly enough to support all of the employees.

That's awesome - being able to go into the office on your own schedule is huge! It's such a life changer. I get that there are plenty of people who like being in an office, but I'm not one of them!