mattie g

If the EPO does cooperate and we get the blocking that's showing up on the ensembles, then I think we do get cold and our chances start shortly thereafter, which is when our general chances at frozen start to increase significantly in general. While I realize that waiting a little bit for the pattern to favor us is much better than having it kick in earlier, I kinda wish we'd seen this like 10 days earlier so that we'd have a better shot at some white leading into Christmas...though I'm not going to complain about it if we do wait and it comes to fruition!

Cool discussion about past events in this thread. So...how are we feeling about what the GEFS is laying down and sticking with at 500 starting a couple days before Christmas? What I like is that the can isn't getting kicked on this and that we're seeing a chance that some of that cold in Canada bleeds in our direction.

The new normal.

True. It is interesting and significant, though not unprecedented.

I turned up my volume, and I swear I could hear a slight jingle.

This is exactly how I remember it. It was there for days, but then reality set in and it disappeared. But while it may have been anomalous, it was a dream to watch it unfold on run after run.

Is that the one which was showing a massive stream of moisture coming out of the Southwest and running over a deep layer of cold air for days on end?

I know you’re just a troll, but I don’t believe the term “false flag” means what you think it means.

It's only in the last ten years that snowpack started melting a few days after a storm. #thenewnormal

The new normal. Right?

Gotta admit, Chuck…and this is not meant in disrespect, but this is one of your most incomprehensible posts I’ve read yet.

GEFS is still trying to nudge the Scandinavian Ridge into the NAO domain as we get towards the end of the run. Would like to see some more changes in the Pacific, though we are seeing some higher heights getting up into Alaska.

11/30 - T 12/8 - T

Yeah...it's bumming me out, if I'm honest. I know it's been dry, but whatever. I don't care what the temp is - just give me a couple days of sun!

Makes sense. I'm guessing those lake effect areas would normally start piling up as we get into mid-December as cold air plows out of Canada and over the warm lakes.

Don't worry. It'll all get washed into the watershed with this weekend's rain. Like it was never there!

How far below normal snowfall are places in northern New England and the lake effect zones? Seems like it would be quite a bit below normal - even by now.

Screw New York state...feels like it hasn't been sunny here for more than an hour or two in weeks!

We actually had a some tiny flurries for 30 minutes or so in the late morning. Two Ts on the season!

But being along a gradient could produce.

I got a small coating of graupel on November 30, so I don't care about today.

If you squint really hard while driving, not only can easily find yourself in a ditch, but the kicked-up brine can also look a little like snow falling.

DCA's record high on the 10th is 67, which is the lowest record high for December until you get to the 17th (64 degrees). I like warm days.

Rts 29 and 66 in the Chantilly area were brined as of 10:00 this morning.

Mentioned above But yeah...seems to be doing OK. It's still green, which is certainly a good sign! I've been soaking it pretty good every 3-4 days and having a little walk on it afterwards. I'm going to keep watering in intervals for as long as the weather permits. I just don't want to lose any of it!