mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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So what you’re saying is that the same shit keeps happening in the end regardless of what comes before it? Seems annoying. I wonder where I’ve heard that before…
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NAM takes MBY from 14F at 7am on Sunday to 41F at 1:00am on Monday.
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This storm is so dumb.
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This is the MLK Day storm banter thread.
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He suckerpunched an old lady and kicked her Yorkie.
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I appreciate how adamant you are about this, and I REALLY hope your take turns out correct, but I think the writing is on the wall with this one. All the models are picking up on the jog of the surface low to the NW, and it's happening regardless of what happens earlier in the runs.
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Just looked at the CMC. I like the 24+ hours of snowfall that drops a little less than 0.6" of QPF with temps 28-29F and a column that's cold throughout.
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JV models will trend to the GFS, which will start the inevitable climb NW by 12z this Sunday. JV models will lag behind the GFS until 0z Tuesday, when they'll generally converge. Now...whether that means anything for our backyards, I have no idea, but it's played out more than once in the last few weeks and I see no reason to feel any differently.
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If I had known that the storm thread would become a meme factory, I'd have posted that there.
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If I've learned one thing from this storm, it's that the GFS ensembles are apparently useless.
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I need to see lows scooting off the coast of Georgia seven days out. Gives us a little bit of room for the NW trend.
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That GFS map is just the forecast radar reflectivity and placement of the surface low at that time/ Do the WB maps show the location of the surface low at that hour, while showing the average of the prior 6 hours of QPF? Can't quite reconcile the difference between the two maps. Edit: The 6-hour average map on TT looks much the same as the WB one you posted.
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This storm is so annoying.
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I-81 pummeled?
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If we could get that to vertically stack and occlude even 30 miles east, DC and Baltimore do much better.
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What a pointless tweet.
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I know PSU has mentioned this, but I would love to hear some other folks' takes on things, as well. If I knew anything, I'd chime in, but I don't so I won't. Besides, I'm sure most folks here can listen to a Philly accent for only so long...
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Incredibly. I don't think I've been this annoyed in a while. I liked your "banana bruise' analogy. It's perfect.
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Annoying, right?
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Along with a lot of what has been said, I'm looking at the confluence and the heights around the Great Lakes. Lower heights and more confluence is a good thing to help keep this thing a little more east, but I can't get rid of this nagging feeling that all guidance will pull this thing over or west of DC regardless of the look leading in.
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Let's be honest...it's annoying as hell.
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Of course it does. I blame my Dad, who texted me just after the suite that smashed DC, to mention how we might get another fresh, deep snowpack on Sunday-Monday. It’s all gone downhill from there.
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It appears I was wrong and that the low can go further west.
