mattie g

I must have misunderstood the year references. It's tough to tell if someone means 2013-2014 if they just say one or the other.

2013-2014 was well above normal snowfall in DC/Baltimore.

Pretty much all leaves are down here and I’ve done a few big pickups, so not a huge deal. I’ll probably do one final mulching mow after getting back from Thanksgiving and call it a season!

^^ It's really nice to see precip and cold in tandem now in the medium-ish range. Like really, really nice. Do I want it to snow? Of course...but it's still *really* early and even a very cold rain at the very beginning of December is a good omen, IMO.

No doubt that we're far, far, far better off with where we are now than with staring down a pig Pacific jet barreling into the West Coast all the way from Japan at 350mph. That shit is the suck. I'm coming into this winter with absolutely zero expectations and an acceptance that something (and I'm not necessarily hinting at CC) that we don't have a full handle of is/are THE driving force(s) behind so many people being wrong about seasonal forecasting in the last few years. We really can't do much worse than we have recently and I'm a big believer in the rubber band theory, so I don't think that persistence is the way to look at this coming winter. I suppose this is just a roundabout way of saying that any seasonal forecast I might have is based on "feels," which I realize wouldn't satisfy many around here.

Not only that, but plenty of recent runs have been showing potential in and around the first week of December. Even in the likely case that we don’t snow then, we’re getting hints that we might not be DOA this winter.

Yeah...50s with showers seems like perfect picnic weather!

There's a spot in a county park near me where the path drops maybe 8-10' as it turns along a creek and it's very often noticeably cooler than on the path before you make that drop. There's another little hill with a 12-15' incline right around the corner, so I think any cool air bleeds down and collects in an area with little to no air movement. It's a pretty cool little feature!

Around .45" here, per closest stations. Super raw day yesterday, though. It was pretty awful, even if we need the rain.

I have to drive my daughter to dance at 7:45. To say that I'm not happy about not being able to partake in multiple bourbons tonight would be an understatement.

...with a nearly perfect ridge axis out west and a 50/50 low.

This is *everything* that this thread is about. I can't thank you enough for posting it, Will!

BWI: 14.3" DCA: 9.2" IAD: 16.7" RIC: 9.9" Tiebreaker SBY: 8.6"

It's really a matter of personal preference, but many of us experience changes in personal preference over the years. Sounds like either this is something that happened to you or you just weren't ready to experience something different until now, which is also something that is a result of the maturity that we gain as we get older. I've seen Phish quite a few times, but that was all in my younger years. I recently "re-found" them and now I'm dying to see another show. Hoping they play somewhere relatively close by in the next year or so. Would love to see them again and have my wife with me to experience it!

I'm starting to worry about this trip to HHI for Thanksgiving. I'm not interested in missing out on the Turkey Day MECS...