Stevo6899

Canadian not playing ball.

I think once this current storm gets east of the coast in the next 3 days, models will hopefully hone in on this next one. Until then cant get sucked in. Looks promising for snow starved areas.

To be fair, climate doesnt support snow and snowcover as much the further south you go towards cincinatti. But yea people need to put things in perspective before they complain about the lack of snow. I live 40 miles north of detroit and I don't think ive had more than 3 inches in a 24 hr period this winter, and it happened maybe once last winter in the early november snowstorm. Kinda rare this far north. The lack of big snows the past 3 winters is frustrating but it happens and we had a good run prior. Ive learned to be more happy for those that cash in on snow. Good karma.

Can you please share the link to this website. Ive seen these kinda days since warnings maps used for severe weather. Something like 2000 days since a tornado watch in detroit i think lol. Thanks.

If you were just looking at the composite reflectivity on the 18z nam (twisterdata) for the first time for this storm, you'd get so pumped to see the huge blob of heavy precip exploding, expanding, making a B-line (i think that was a accuweather forum posters name) straight NE towards SEMI. Then it hits the wall, what a bummer. Not something you see very often and its happened twice the past week.

Those of us in places that havent seen a 4+ event all winter are thinking nobody in iowa should be upset.

This ain't ours dewd, let er go lol. Gotta move that block east before we get a respectable storm.

Definitely a tough zone to be in for good snowstorms (detroit, 401 to toronto). No block, we get a GHD type that goes NW. Block, the precip dissipates as it enters the region. Getting the block to setup in the right place is like russian roulette. We need an old fashioned gulf low, riding into arctic air. Good to see some areas that haven't seen much cashing in with this one.

Similar jump north around the same time out as this past storm. For a few runs It also had the last storm maintaining its strength longer out this way which ended up being wrong in the end. We'll have to see if this one can keep its sh$t together long enough to give dtw a decent snowstorm.

If i remember correctly, all 3 of those last winter took like 20 hours to get over 6+. This current storm had the most potential to atleast resemble a decent storm here, and the dryslot found us. Most models showed 12-18 for NE and IA, and that was met in some areas. You almost always have to cut kuchera snow maps in half when they show 30 inch totals in the midwest. The canadian was overdoing it and everyone knew it. 15 inches in lincoln is underwhelming? Whatever you gotta say to talk yourself into our area being a snowstorm heaven. Lol ok so macomb did okay and got 3 inches today but south of macomb basically got zilch due to the dryslot. It is what is is, we always find the dryslot in respectable storms, whether its modeled or not. Ive accepted it, just wish you would and stop turd polishing.

Lol, Those were all 18 hr dusters to get 3 inches. Congrats to us. You cant count those as actual snowstorms. Those events prob didnt even have a dry slot. Come on josh. Just for once admit east of the glacier ridge sucks for snowstorms. Enjoy your snow y'all. Send pics to remind josh what a real 6 inch snow looks like.

Detroit, downriver, and east of glacier rudge always find a way into the drysluot*.

It seems more often than not, while the low pressure didn't go further north, the bands always end up further north than modeled a few days ago. Probably due to the weakening nature of the low, allowing the banding to wander north more. Definitely the trend the past few winters, weakening as it moves E/SE. Enjoy the snow those of you getting it. I wonder if detroit will get a 4+ snowstorm this winter, one that doesn't take 10 hours to get that 4.

Very conservative wsw amounts in the wording/text for southern iowa, 5-10. Should say potential for more than 12.

Plz do this with 12+ snowstorms.

Well without the block, its raining most places, but the blocks also shearing it out. Thus is the hard knock big dog life in SE MI. Maybe we'll luck out and it will keep its act together longer.

Is the interaction with the confluence to the north causing this shearing?

Still blows its loads quickly and low weakens as it slides east. Looks good for chicago and WSW.

It seems some models that keep this further south, are weakening the low rather quickly, thus the more east track vs NE once it gets to indiana. Is it weakening due to the interaction with the northern confluence, not allowing the low to track where it wants, or is it just maxing out quickly due to the overall lack of strength of the low origin?

The euro is weakening the low and precip shield significantly as it heads east. Some concern there for the detroit crew. The u.k. strengthens it as it moves east. I guess at this point, you'd have to give the nod to the euro as its been more consistent with this storm than the uk.

I'd be more worried about the energy coming out in pieces, and a miss south with the main energy than ice, sleet and a bigger threat with all the energy ejecting together. Most models seem to be keying on the former occuring.

Id like where i am sitting if i I were chicago and detroit as it can only go so far north. Obviously still a ways to go but if anything Id expect it to come a little south of todays euro. We've also seen the euro be over amped often this winter at this range.

Its been awhile since we've had the chance to all be excited, especially a spread the wealth storm for chicago, N indiana and detroit as all 3 are represented well on here.

Euro looks canadianish, actually stronger and further north. Gonna be a good run. Des moines snow magnet on and in full force this winter.

Very rarely do we have more than a foot of snowcover. Any weenie, local or not, would complain if you were forecasted 18-24, and only got a foot or so (GHD), especially east of the snow glacier here in SEMI. At this point, if it aint gonna snow 8+, im fine with a zzzz period like you've had. But as you said, its all relative. 3-6 events don't get me excited anymore, even in a dull winter.