Stevo6899

The SE ridge needs to wake up and man up. Id rather a miss nw than cold and suppression.

The once promising train of baroclinic snows has moved south and trek into the east coast. Weak waves in midwest slowly blossom into 4-8 events for the east coast. Damn ocean moisture source. Hopefully we can run into a big storm a week or so from now as maybe the pattern changes.

Yea it would've been cool to be home for that. Still down in Florida until march. I have a bunch of delta miles to use and planned to use them this winter if a 8+ storm looked likely. I assumed back in November I would fly home atleast once this winter but there's been no opportunities.

Were waiting for the "when you're hot, you're hot" comment. Dont mind me, just a jealous hater currently.

Other models had a respectable storm also. Not really a disappointment, just the usual this winter. It happens. Thanks for the obvious reminder though.

Disappointing this turned into a weak turd. Looked promising for a few runs a couple days ago on the euro. It seems every event that shows promise in SEMI this winter turns to poo. All were asking for is one solid event in a 4 month span nov-feb.

Plenty of energy right on its heels too. Atleast it looks somewhat active during this cold stretch

Pretty much non existent on the ukmet also. Rap and hhr prob off their rocker.

With the high ratios, slower movement, and potential strengthening as it moves NE, has overachiever written all over it. Would be fitting our biggest snow event of the winter would materialize less than 48 hrs before the event.

Obviously you can't really take the hhr at hour 50 very seriously but if you extrapolate the 6z run, you would think the totals west in illinois/ind would translate eastward into michigan. Sub 999 low intensifying. Its pretty wild how much the models are struggling with this setup. Perhaps alot of the energy is originating in the nw, in Canada. Usually models struggle with canadian energy. The early next week threat looked like the bigger potential, now this one is trying to take its place, pretty much 48 hrs out.

I look forward to your videos. I will live vicariously through the next 4-5 days.

Wish i was in Michigan for this. Looks like macomb is getting heavy bands redeveloping overhead. Might be the jackpot area.

I think if the late weekend storm can slide off the East Coast and not intensify too much like the ggem portrays, this leaves the baroclinic zone further north, and allow some ridging for some amplification of this wave of energy.

Either way i think he still has better potential in berkley.

Afraid of warmer air and tongue sneaking in here on the east side. Thundersnow and better potential for overachieving out your way in oakland county.

Me and aaron go way back lol. I aint lyin tho. Looks like euro gonna turn it into a progressive turd. Cant get a low to amplify at the right time around these parts (MI)

He's more desperate for snow than a prost!tute who just got outta jail.

Gettin real old seeing iowa in almost every bullseye.

5% chance of even half those totals verifying in SEMI.

U know its a sh*t winter when Josh is even remotely close to bitchin about it. Slowly wearin you down. If this next wave performs anything like the gfs is showing that will give northern Wisconsin there big snow leaving pretty much metro Detroit as only area this far north in the region without a respectable snowstorm. Maybe Toronto but havent really paid much attention to canada as most dont lol. As frustrating as its been, its even worse that the northeast might get its 3rd foot plus storm in a winter where it looked promising the midwest would have a possible historic winter and east coast not much. Just goes to show winter outlooks are useless.

Showing off his graph interpeting skillz.

Going off on the 12z euro, the weaker this next wave is (feb 3,4), the better chance the next threat can come NW with the southeast ridge. Looks to be some phasing going on with northern stream also which enhances the threat. Ill leave the potential phasing with the event to the red tags to elaborate.

I dont think it matters who starts a thread. I honestly had no issue with brian d starting a thread to mix it up since SE MI needed something to shake things up but so much for that idea. Just one of those winters. And lol @ josh who said earlier today winters only half over. Its 75% over. Cant count on snow in march, maybe the first week.

I only remember the early november storm last winter as the only 6+ event. Perhaps downriver got the brunt of a few others us northerners got grazed by?

Repeat of every event this winter. Grinder.