Stevo6899

Dtw big dog (18+) curse continues. That last storm that delivered the goods to Toronto/Cleveland found a way to literally track/detour around us and now this time around we're gonna be stuck in between the goods. After all these years it doesn't really surprise me or disappoint me anymore but I can't help but laugh how Detroit found a way to miss out on 2 straight potential big dogs in a matter of weeks. Cue the "oh the models are still showing 8-12. That's gonna be highly dependent on banding and we all know how unpredictable that is. Detroits gonna have to get lucky to get 8 " out of this which Josh will be thrilled about but at this point it's big dog or nothing for me. Good luck to all those in line to get historic snows and enjoy it!

Typical news hype, local news saying this could be one of detroits largest on record. Im just not seeing it. I still feel like if it takes 36 hrs, it shouldn't count as one event. I hope those in N in, IL and nw ohio can cash in on a 2 footer.

On the brightside, you get to save some money.

Ive had this discussion with Josh more times than the lions have losses the past 20 years. Dont waste your time lol. You wont get him to admit we suck at big dogs.

Battle of whether or not to book a flight lol.

Models really struggling with this setup. Gfs led the way being amped up, now its more on the southern end.

The jan 5 2014 wasnt a big low pressure barreling. If I remember correctly I think it was a weak low pressure system that phased with the PV. I think last nights runs were about as far north this thing will drop the big snows. Unless the shortwave coming into the sw is being modeled poorly on its strength. Toledo looks good back towards N ind.

Jan 5 2014 for me. Heres to hoping a nw jog within 48 hrs like that one.

Its gotta surprise the nws mets how many real weather nerds/snowstorm nerds there really are out there. Sometimes when they're writing their AFd's and social media posts, I think that they forget that a large number of people actually read them lol.

This nwschicago employee wasnt ready for all the weenies to come at them this morning. Diggin a deeper hole.

Looks like we may be waiting until tonights 0z suite to roll out before booking our flights. Its never easy ehh.

I think its still snowing at the end of the run?

Jonger

As stated earlier, theres so many moving pieces to this, some still offshore, so a bump more north is possible, or south. Its anyones guess.

Its been chilly, in the 50s here in fort myers past few days. Gonna be in the 80s n sunny all week so its gonna have to be a lil more north tomorrow for me to leave lol. I forget, you're in dallas?

Not complaining just discussing lol. 2 feet+ or bust.

Well it didnt go south, just the orientation went more w-e up this way. Im hoping by tomorrow 12z we'll have a better idea.

You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything.

Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding.

What the hell happened to the ukmet? Its been way way south the whole time. Did they run some kind of update on it and now its scores arent as good? I remember it having the best verification scores as recent as last yr.

You'd think id learn after 17 yrs of this, and after ghd1 but a weenie gonna weenie. I dont get as stressed as I used to. Just been waiting forever for our own ghd 2 footer in metro Detroit. Maybe this is it.

Yikes. I think we can see why so much volatility in the model solutions today, and prob more on the way. Gonna be a long 48 hrs lol.

I was gonna wait until tomorrow night to book my flight. Cant trust these models enough until within 36 hrs lol. Would prob fly home late tues night. Was thinking maybe even wed morning but not risking getting it cancelled since it looks like it may start wed morning. Airlines are weak nowadays, delta used to never cancel flights unless a blizzard. Now all it takes is a couple inches.

Where is the energy from the main show coming shore? Pac nw? SW?

I agree that DTW is sitting in a good spot for the front end snows and the main show and has a chance to see some of the higher totals. Im just happy theres something to track. Basically 3 months of no big dogs to track so far.