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Stevo6899

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Everything posted by Stevo6899

  1. It was weird. Last night I was driving home and it was still 70 out. I had the windows down and it felt chilly. Im like wtf is happening. Normally even if its 50 im still warm down here. Im turning into a true Floridian. I think toledo may jackpot with this. They will be near the heavier precip and may max out with the ratios.
  2. I don't care about the east coast anymore. They got the ocean to help aid storms. It sucks they out big dog us but I'm so used to it by now it doesn't bother me like it used to. It helps I'm in a warmer climate for sure. That useless cold for the next week is gross.
  3. Nobody gets more satisfaction from weeks old dirty crusty snow piles.
  4. No thanks. Crazy there's gonna be almost a 100 degrees temp difference between my house in Michigan and Florida. It is pretty rare tho that y'all might see 6 inches on top of pretty decent snow depth already.
  5. If only the low didnt transfer so fast and strengthen as it moves up into Ohio. Perfect track for Detroit. Potential big dog wasted, shame.
  6. Enjoy that -15 on those nipples in the morning chief.
  7. Yea dry air and virga worries me. Gonna be a sharp cutoff as always. I thought about flying back from Florida but for some reason this thing isn't getting me excited. Plus it's gonna be 80 down here the next 3 days.
  8. Pretty remarkable the differences between gfs and rgem. Rgem been consistently showing 10+ for most of the metro area.
  9. Man it's hard to look at those big totals taper off as you head NE. It seems either were battling precip issues or suppression.
  10. There haven't been many opportunities in recent winters but it's their go to play. Everytime they issue a headline, I picture them with their feet up, stuffing their faces with donuts, waiting for the hookers/strippers to arrive for the evening.
  11. This has dtx issuing a wwa then upgrading to a warning after 5 inches is already on the ground written all over it.
  12. Yea these scenarios always make me wonder if the low isn't that strong overall and the phasing is the only thing making this a storm. What's preventing the low from dropping below 1000 and kinda bombing/not transferring. Obviously beyond my meteorological knowledge. Cold high to the north shunting it?
  13. The problem with this is that the low pressure isn't that strong overall mb wise so it transfers pretty quickly to a coastal low, which will limit totals this far north. Further south into Ohio should still get some goods before the transfer. Fluid situation tho with Miller b's.
  14. Same but it's not gonna take much qpf to stack a foot. Pretty rare to get high ratio snow for a potential somewhat big dog.
  15. 6z rgem is a thing of beauty. Gotta be record ratios.
  16. Just had to sneak detroit into the warm sector. Tornado watch?
  17. Early run of Canadian 0z rgem, looks like Canadian gonna stay in the more phased, northern camp.
  18. The next 48 hours are a delicate time and anyone from south bend to say Pittsburgh is in play imo. We've seen 300+mile shifts several times in this time frame when phasing is involved.
  19. Yea you usually see these either miss the complete phase and slide more SE like the gfs, or you get a complete phase and wagons west. . More times than not, you get the former. West of apps or well east, no in-between track. Also the models struggle with phasing as we saw with the last storm that surprised the Detroit area and gave Toronto a foot plus. So many things have to go right timing wise so I'd guess we get more of a gfs track.
  20. Looks like macomb twp coming in at 4 inches. Snow depth has to be close to double digits there.
  21. Yea I was gonna say this might be the one time where even the kuchera maps may be under totals with ratios.
  22. Well when winters suck and are boring like they have been for years, there's nothing else to do on here than quibble back n forth with josh for fun.
  23. Still all kinds of time for indy/dtw to reel it in. Years ago these would almost always trend nw. Who knows anymore.
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