Stevo6899

good to see yall cashing in, def a good start. Is most of the snow lake effect?

Obviously still a ways to go but it's definitely rare to see suppression this early. Usually for the Great Lakes region we have to let a few wrapped up storms travel through the Upper Midwest before we gotta worry about misses south. My guess is the nao is tanking during this timeframe.

Lol literally travels in a circle around detroit

I just hate the days like today. I usually split the year between here and florida. I moved down there a few years ago but my parents live in Michigan and had to move back last year to help mom take care of dad who has passed. Moms going downhill now so I'm here to stay for awhile. The transition into winter through this month and December is the crappy part. Hopefully we can have an active December for once.

I'm a what have you done for me lately kinda guy lol.

This is about the time where I need to head south to florida. These cloudy days definitely affect me too much

Models are just reminding us not to even look at them past 100 hours when it comes to snow.

Interesting developments on most models. Usually this early on in the GL, you need to be on the W/SE of the low to get the snows, but I'd imagine if it wraps up sub 980, there will be some solid deformation snows.

Wasn't only 2-4 forecasted?

Agreed on the milder/snowy/stormy. The big snows almost always have the rain/snow line nearby.

While there's a chance this winter is colder than avg, I feel like we're gonna be threading the needle all winter with snow events. I think its been 5+ years since we've had a legit overall cold/snowy winter. Of course everyone's criteria for legit is different...

Not following severe weather and these parameters you just mentioned, it definitely felt muggy enough and with full sun I didn't expect the storms to fizzle. Just goes to show you how much goes into severe forecasting. Nws issued a watch so I think they thought the parameters were good enough but nonetheless they fizzled and you out meteorology'd them lol. Perhaps they were just playing it safe and getting the word out because as stated, many just went through bad storms a few days before.

Right on, thanks for the tip/info but most of the time not near my pc.

Storms popped just to my east and wow impressive cloud deck. Don't get to see them this tall very often. I wish I could upload a Pic but quality and size of pic won't allow it.

Curious if during that stretch there was a prolonged heat wave. 39 days is incredible.