NW_of_GYX

Went for a ski tour to Hojo’s and little head wall today. Snowed all day except for a brief period of sleet around 2 pm. Maybe 5” above 2500’. Heavy snow at Pinkham right now.

he's falsely interpreting the dense spruce slopes of the whites from 2k-4k feet as no snow.

He melted weeks ago

3.5” nice little event

Obviously a long way out so usual caveats apply but there seems to be some model agreement for a moderate QPF event Saturday night into Sunday. Looks to be borderline ptype which I don't hate for my location at this range. Both 12z GFS and euro then show a similar evolution for 3/1. These both have that look where ski country cashes in with a sharp gradient to the south. Anyway, glad to see things looking active the next 7-10 days. As lots of NNE posters have said, give us the QPF first, worry about temps later.

For you sure. I'll take a few days in the 40s in early March to melt some snow off the eaves.

They haven't handled any of these SW systems well. I'll believe it when I see within 24 hours at this point. Same reason I'm not buying d10 temp anomalies.

I'm just not seeing this full blown torch that everyone here is convinced about. Some highs in the 40's sure.

You know the models look bad when this thread is just a bunch NNE posters taking about how much it used to snow.

Big time NNE melt today

That's about as strong a signal as we've seen for Maine this season. Would like to that low further east in the Gulf though. Plenty of time for that to ride over Tamarack's head or out to sea. We all know what happens with d7 jacks.

Rangeley to Greenville corridor has been OK but still well below average. The difference for the Loaf this year has been lack of brutal cold and wind. I had some great skiing at Loaf well into April during that putrid 15-16 season. King of Spring for a reason.

This better deliver or else the dryslot and lava melts will be full on. I'm not sure they will make it past the system for Friday at this rate. If we don't get something real in this next period I won't be far behind them. As you've noted, our bread and butter in Maine is March and April when everyone else is golfing, so for us there's still 8 weeks of climo left. This is often when we get the best bowling balls too, but so far this season, all bets are off. I've got a week in Rangeley booked for late March, early April. Will either be full on winter or spring skiing and goggle tans. I'm fine with either.

she gone

Anything south and east of me in my opinion with the exception of some hills in Sebago and Raymond. I guess you're on a hill so maybe you get a pass. Raymond Village is most certainly CP. I've noticed since I moved here in 2013 that gradients often set up hard in Sebago, Naples area.

Drive 15 miles north and west, certainly not epic but we're in much better shape than you coastal plain dwellers. Just cleared 2" of pure sleet. More effort than the 10" two weeks ago.

skier was buried on Monday according to reports. As always, forecasts should never just be accepted verbatim.

RIP A similar event occurred last year in Raymond Cataract. In both cases a solo skier released a slab avalanche that carried into a major terrain trap. Ravines on the west side of Washington do not get the attention that east facing ravines do in the avalanche forecasts. The rating was low on the day this occurred. I'm occasionally tempted by a solo tour in avalanche terrain and then I see reports like this and am reminded why a good partner(s) are often the most important piece of safety equipment you can have. That and avoiding terrain traps at all costs until the snow pack has fully transitioned to isothermal in the spring.

10.5" at the office in Bridgton. HRRR says we have a shot at a foot.

Just nuking here since noon!

Can confirm it is dumping at Shawnee right now

lock it in

Looks great, I’m headed up in the morning. Looks like a sleeper day on tap.

some spruce tree at 3500' on the spine might see another foot

3k nam spitting out some impressive totals for the spine and over into the whites as well for the next 48 hours. almost .5" of qpf in spots