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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn’t that be a case of bright banding or no? I would think not, for what it’s worth, but who knows
  2. crossbowftw3
    The silver lining is that most of the next week after this looks generally quiet so most of the water (that doesn’t freeze anyway) would recede. Hoping they’ve got their preparations good to go.
  3. crossbowftw3
    I’ve got a pretty good feeling that tomorrow morning the Delaware will be raging pretty hard. Assuming many trees don’t fall I could find time between Christmas activities to take a look at what’s going on downtown where I am. Most of the town is elevated well above the level of the Delaware, thankfully
  4. crossbowftw3
    In my portion of Sullivan County the pack has whittled down enough to where flooding would be relatively limited at my house and generally around the area, but everywhere north is in a degree of trouble here. Isaias was the last flooding event here and it proved to be pretty bad. This one’s lasting about as long as that with the snow aiding the 1-3” of rain expected to fall (and already is beginning even.) the gusts, while again only at advisory level, will only serve to aid the rapid melt and flooding.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Infinitely more concerned about flooding here in the Catskills than the wind. Plenty of areas around here still got a deep snowpack. We probably only get advisory winds here but the flooding could prove highly problematic.
  6. crossbowftw3
    You could in theory still get good mixing at night especially in a situation like this with good WAA. That WAA can also create a stronger inversion.
  7. crossbowftw3
    I think this looks close to about what may unfold...is this accounting for convective elements? If there are to be 65+ gusts it’d be if the squall line rolled through.
  8. crossbowftw3
    I would tend to believe so.
  9. crossbowftw3
    I’d think even more concern lies where the 3 feet+ fell. Sure it was more powder there but it’s obviously compacted by now.
  10. crossbowftw3
    More concerned with flooding here than winds (for now)
  11. crossbowftw3
    Could be some. Drier air will rush in with the front, however, probably cutting things off too quickly for anything more than coatings.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Most of the folks in the NE thread are ignoring that and just wanting damage
  13. crossbowftw3
    I guess advisories for us N&W folk?
  14. crossbowftw3
    Blizzard warnings definitely still do exist and get used. Some were used this past January but in the Upper Midwest.
  15. crossbowftw3
    Easily a foot for them.
  16. crossbowftw3
    We're still largely on the course but model wars have commenced for another season
  17. crossbowftw3
    Lesser on Monday the better? count on it.
  18. crossbowftw3
    Regardless of what Kevin thinks that's likely highly implausible to happen...if at 10:1 you're asking for 3" of snow an hour for 12 hours...essentially, one band has to last for half a day. Not likely.
  19. crossbowftw3
    Some from just last winter even...I know there was one from February that had 20+ DC to Boston Edit: strangely very similar to what we're being shown now. hmmm.
  20. crossbowftw3
    I turned my back on them a while ago (a few years by this point.) The "covidcane" stunt was pretty preposterous; but by then I had forums like this that are a good deal better at conveying the information behind the storms than TWC ever could dream to.
  21. crossbowftw3
    Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Jonas flashbacks...0z will be very telling.
  23. crossbowftw3
    Being close to those areas 20-30" absolutely isn't happening. 8-12 with pockets of 12-16 probably seem most doable at the moment.
  24. crossbowftw3
    Here in the Catskills with the CMC/GFS runs in mind I really wouldn't mind if this evolves to become the next 95 crusher. Many of you here (and in the MA/NYC forums) definitely need it after the last few years
  25. crossbowftw3
    As someone who got 26" in 15 hours during Pi day 2017 I can attest you absolutely don't need duration to get big totals, ha
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