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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Getting it pretty good in Sullivan now, only really seeing the grass getting coated as of the last 10 minutes. I'll be surprised if we can get more than an inch, but it's well appreciated regardless. Only about 3" of snow so far on the season which is kinda pitiful.
  2. crossbowftw3
    In conjecture with this, some crazy impressive analogs have been tossed around, which include both super outbreak years, and 2008 (Super Tuesday, early January Outbreak being among most notable). Not to say events of those magnitudes occur but overall it paints a very ugly picture
  3. crossbowftw3
    As a side note, moderate nina = big trouble for the south when spring comes around.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Seeing lots of changeovers happening for our New England friends....they'll be getting whalloped later on.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Never forget that one, but same will not happen here, sadly. The Pi Day storm was just perfect...what I would give to have another one of those right now, ha
  6. crossbowftw3
    The mention of Jonas in the coastal thread reminded me to pull this up. Probably the most pain I've ever felt from a snowstorm. You guys definitely reaped the benefits though. A gradient of 40 miles shut me out of over 8" and two hours shut me out from almost 30"
  7. crossbowftw3
    Probably just trying to join the fray seeing how 6z didn't seem to have anything
  8. crossbowftw3
    Running out of time for those. This model cycle, if not 18/0z, probably will converge on the common solution. New England going to certainly get whacked. Latest GFS. N CT and northeast will get slammed.
  9. crossbowftw3
    GFS ticked back slightly west but it does nobody here any good, not even us in BGM CWA. @sferic @Ericjcrash maybe some flakes for you two tomorrow.
  10. crossbowftw3
    Latest GFS. You could in theory drive from Chicago to Cleveland and go from nothing to well over a foot.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Gonna be interesting to watch what happens in Ohio/Indiana. Potential very sharp snow gradient might be in play....talking nothing to at least a foot within maybe 30 miles. If not less, that is.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Plausible knowing that every so often the southern states (mainly NC) get a snowstorm, with results never really pretty.
  13. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn't shock me knowing that every year or so the south always gets a storm or two in December-January. The results never tend to be pretty.
  14. crossbowftw3
    There's been six known instances of max wind potential (105 MPH gusts) in any watch, most recent was just last year across Minnesota and Northern Wisconsin
  15. crossbowftw3
    1630 outlook further expands the moderate risk into NW Wisconsin, with rather concerning wording at hand. 7000 SBCAPE pooling in SE ND already. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
  16. crossbowftw3
    6/3/14 for wind, hail cannot go past moderate. most recent PDS severe watch happened August last year.
  17. crossbowftw3
    The case of lower Michigan might be one where a PDS severe watch is warranted only if the tornado threat was slightly lower. It's still entirely plausible under current circumstances, however. For us further east folk it looks like limited forcing today.
  18. crossbowftw3
    It is. coincidentally on the same date as Lee County from last year.
  19. crossbowftw3
    No longer waiting for Cookeville. EF4 with winds of 175.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Hearing from other forums that Tennessee EMA Spokesperson now indicating at least 28 deaths, 200+ injured.
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