Jump to content

crossbowftw3

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,324

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    As someone who got 26" in 15 hours during Pi day 2017 I can attest you absolutely don't need duration to get big totals, ha
  2. crossbowftw3
    I've seen it happen before with Pi day 2017. It will be an absolute nightmare to keep up with clearing wise.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Pi Day 2017 I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours >> constant ~2 inches an hour with some hours where it fell at 4-5" per hour. Have to imagine if this plays out similar results may occur.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Pi Day I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours. This implies the same 2" constant hourly rates.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Big time hit
  6. crossbowftw3
    GFS with a big time hit in the cities
  7. crossbowftw3
    Right on the dotted line
  8. crossbowftw3
    Right in the middle of the action with that ICON run.
  9. crossbowftw3
    NSFW warnings should be applied to this
  10. crossbowftw3
    Maybe. But here inland we will likely be in the better spot....but we need to wait for the wave to get properly sampled before either camp can say for sure what will happen.
  11. crossbowftw3
    I'd think localized totals approaching 2 feet aren't out of the question...but they'd be exceptions, not the norm. Entirely plausible to get numerous/more widespread reports of one foot+ totals...or at least double digits
  12. crossbowftw3
    Feeling a bit nervous being 100 miles inland in Sullivan, still like what I'm seeing but undoubtedly need to wait for the wave to be properly sampled
  13. crossbowftw3
    And to this extent my earliest best reasonable guess is a widespread 6-10+ storm...to a point. it'll be in Wednesday out Thursday. The 20"+ runs seem unlikely unless the storm sits and just parks for a time. It'll be cold too, ratios likely 15:1 or thereabout. No concern for mixing with temperatures likely hovering in the mid 20s by day, going to mid teens by night. Better picture of the situation will start happening by tomorrow.
  14. crossbowftw3
    Very good point. Like where I am right now but we are still a day away from having the wave that will become the catalyst for this storm able to be properly sampled
  15. crossbowftw3
    Even here in Sullivan I do get the sneaking feeling this could evolve to give NYC more snow than we will have here. We will have higher ratios here (I'm thinking 15:1 based on the words of Walt Drag), mind you
  16. crossbowftw3
    Member 1 looks kinda odd compared to the rest
  17. crossbowftw3
    The NYC crowd aren't necessarily finding the negatives with this setup, but strangely enough there might be something here for them assuming mixing doesn't actually come into play. Nonetheless I like where a good deal of us here are sitting...ratios over 10:1 (perhaps approaching >15:1?) with every model spitting out >8" for most inland areas (save for GFS)....so basically very few negatives really at hand for us unless you're more west
  18. crossbowftw3
    Liking where I'm sitting more and more here. Aside from the GFS almost every single one likes the Catskills for 8"+ on this one. Today's going to be critical to watch the models, especially GFS. @wdrag how high do you think ratios get inland? I was thinking up to around 15:1 but with P&C forecast giving me a high of 27 and a low of 15 Wednesday I'd think maybe a bit higher?
  19. crossbowftw3
    Still looks good today. Don't think anyone would complain with a widespread 6-12 storm this early in the Winter. However I still raise the concern about south trends and this becoming a 95 special, if not a complete miss
  20. crossbowftw3
    I should also say I do feel a bit nervous of this evolving into a 95 special. Every time I see snowy on the EPS to the coast it always swings that way by 48 hours
  21. crossbowftw3
    Or 40 hours in the case of Thanksgiving weekend last year. Granted mixing issues meant it was never snow for more than maybe ~8 hours at a time
  22. crossbowftw3
    Liking what I am seeing so far for my odds here in the Catskills. Kinda nervous though that this could evolve into a 95 special but that may not be overly likely for now
  23. crossbowftw3
    Liking what I see so far but still five days out so plenty of time for change. It'll be about damn time we get our first big boy snow of the year if things continue to trend in the correct direction.
  24. crossbowftw3
    It's definitely coming down in the Catskills. A dusting/coating on most everything, even the roads. Maybe I can sneak 1-2"? Would be surprised if more than 1" fell though.
  25. crossbowftw3
    Getting it pretty good in Sullivan now, only really seeing the grass getting coated as of the last 10 minutes. I'll be surprised if we can get more than an inch, but it's well appreciated regardless. Only about 3" of snow so far on the season which is kinda pitiful.
×
×
  • Create New...