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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Jonas flashbacks...0z will be very telling.
  2. crossbowftw3
    Agreed, if it keeps up by then and especially once the wave is in play then that will be the time to get nervous.* *for us north of 84, and interest picking up closer to NYC.
  3. crossbowftw3
    I'm getting Jonas flashbacks. That run scared me and I hope it doesn't keep up. My continued fear is that it might just do so.
  4. crossbowftw3
    I'm getting Jonas flashbacks. Let's hope this doesn't keep up.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Being close to those areas 20-30" absolutely isn't happening. 8-12 with pockets of 12-16 probably seem most doable at the moment.
  6. crossbowftw3
    Here in the Catskills with the CMC/GFS runs in mind I really wouldn't mind if this evolves to become the next 95 crusher. Many of you here (and in the MA/NYC forums) definitely need it after the last few years
  7. crossbowftw3
    When does everyone else jump on is the question. If they do, anwyay, which I'd assume begins when the wave gets sampled.
  8. crossbowftw3
    It was our payback for missing Jonas, ha. If this is your payback for us taking Pi day I really wouldn't mind. 95 deserves its next big storm.
  9. crossbowftw3
    As someone who got 26" in 15 hours during Pi day 2017 I can attest you absolutely don't need duration to get big totals, ha
  10. crossbowftw3
    I've seen it happen before with Pi day 2017. It will be an absolute nightmare to keep up with clearing wise.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Pi Day 2017 I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours >> constant ~2 inches an hour with some hours where it fell at 4-5" per hour. Have to imagine if this plays out similar results may occur.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Pi Day I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours. This implies the same 2" constant hourly rates.
  13. crossbowftw3
    Big time hit
  14. crossbowftw3
    GFS with a big time hit in the cities
  15. crossbowftw3
    Right on the dotted line
  16. crossbowftw3
    Right in the middle of the action with that ICON run.
  17. crossbowftw3
    NSFW warnings should be applied to this
  18. crossbowftw3
    Maybe. But here inland we will likely be in the better spot....but we need to wait for the wave to get properly sampled before either camp can say for sure what will happen.
  19. crossbowftw3
    I'd think localized totals approaching 2 feet aren't out of the question...but they'd be exceptions, not the norm. Entirely plausible to get numerous/more widespread reports of one foot+ totals...or at least double digits
  20. crossbowftw3
    Feeling a bit nervous being 100 miles inland in Sullivan, still like what I'm seeing but undoubtedly need to wait for the wave to be properly sampled
  21. crossbowftw3
    And to this extent my earliest best reasonable guess is a widespread 6-10+ storm...to a point. it'll be in Wednesday out Thursday. The 20"+ runs seem unlikely unless the storm sits and just parks for a time. It'll be cold too, ratios likely 15:1 or thereabout. No concern for mixing with temperatures likely hovering in the mid 20s by day, going to mid teens by night. Better picture of the situation will start happening by tomorrow.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Very good point. Like where I am right now but we are still a day away from having the wave that will become the catalyst for this storm able to be properly sampled
  23. crossbowftw3
    Even here in Sullivan I do get the sneaking feeling this could evolve to give NYC more snow than we will have here. We will have higher ratios here (I'm thinking 15:1 based on the words of Walt Drag), mind you
  24. crossbowftw3
    Member 1 looks kinda odd compared to the rest
  25. crossbowftw3
    The NYC crowd aren't necessarily finding the negatives with this setup, but strangely enough there might be something here for them assuming mixing doesn't actually come into play. Nonetheless I like where a good deal of us here are sitting...ratios over 10:1 (perhaps approaching >15:1?) with every model spitting out >8" for most inland areas (save for GFS)....so basically very few negatives really at hand for us unless you're more west
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