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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Yep, finished with 4” on the dot here.
  2. crossbowftw3
    Been lightly snowing for hours while areas west of me are getting the banding. Doesn’t look like more than 3-4” while 1500’ elevation areas are getting over 10”
  3. crossbowftw3
    And we are now underway with more moderately heavy snow here in Sullivan. 32/30
  4. crossbowftw3
    With what I got OTG from this morning the forecast should easily be met, curious though about if any banding can form to help bust totals high...but probably not by much given the quick movement of the Storm overall. BGM seems to think a 5-6 hour window of banding could happen
  5. crossbowftw3
    From eye testing easily around .5-.75 is currently on the ground after the initial burst, should help to easily meet the forecast. Curious to see if any banding forms to help bust some of these forecasted amounts high, but Storm still moving too quickly to go anything more than 6-7”
  6. crossbowftw3
    It could, but only by an inch or so
  7. crossbowftw3
    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 422 PM EST Sat Jan 2 2021 NYZ062-032130- /O.EXA.KBGM.WW.Y.0001.210103T1600Z-210104T0400Z/ Sullivan- Including the city of Monticello 422 PM EST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. * WHERE...Sullivan county. * WHEN...Snow will develop late in the morning Sunday, peak in intensity in the afternoon and taper off Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  8. crossbowftw3
    Pretty reasonable guess, perhaps hold some 6 or more to anything even higher than 1500
  9. crossbowftw3
    Your house probably gets the 6” if I’m being honest right now
  10. crossbowftw3
    The melting is well underway now. It's a beautiful sound.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Signed, sealed, and delivered?
  12. crossbowftw3
    I'd favor 1250-1500+' areas for the 8 inch totals and a general 2-6 everywhere else. Ratios will probably not be the perfect 10:1 but still pretty close regardless.
  13. crossbowftw3
    Should also say if there are to be any 8"+ totals it's definitely eastern New England as the low gets going
  14. crossbowftw3
    3-6 is still a solid bet, maybe swing up to 4-8 depending. Going to be a nice event not unlike last January 18 (I think?)
  15. crossbowftw3
    Listening to the ice melt away is somehow one of the most oddly satisfying things one can do for some reason. 37/35 at my place as of now We have to then replace this with at least 2-4" of snow tomorrow winter can be fascinating yet highly confounding at the same time
  16. crossbowftw3
    Got some snow maps for that or?
  17. crossbowftw3
    By my eye testing we got about .2” ice here as well. Roads look just wet but trees are obviously glazed over. 35/34 now with some melting occurring. Hopefully most of this melts before tomorrow’s snow
  18. crossbowftw3
    Addendum: sleet is back now.
  19. crossbowftw3
    It was pinging away for a time now it sounds like very light ZR with temperatures still hanging right around freezing.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Currently also guessing 2-4/3-6 here in Sullivan. At my elevation rain mixing in would probably cap things a bit, but we’ll see what happens over the next day
  21. crossbowftw3
    Temperatures hanging only slightly above freezing to begin at 33/24. Looking for about a 6-10 hour frozen period before I get back above freezing and change to rain. looking like a haves and have nots again WRT ice at my lower elevation (750 or so) versus most elsewhere in the county...maybe we see .1 here versus most elsewhere being closer to .25.
  22. crossbowftw3
    What are you seeing from the HRDPS?
  23. crossbowftw3
    Advisories populating- general 1-3 and ice of .1-.25, even .3 possible.
  24. crossbowftw3
    And sure enough... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 226 PM EST Thu Dec 31 2020 NYZ062-PAZ040-048-072-011930- /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0023.210101T2000Z-210102T1200Z/ Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Monticello, Damascus, Equinunk, Milford, and Honesdale 226 PM EST Thu Dec 31 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Northern Wayne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...A mix of snow and sleet will develop by early evening New Year`s Day. The precipitation will change to freezing rain in the evening and last into the overnight and early morning of Saturday. The freezing rain will taper off to a few rain showers by sunrise Saturday as temperatures rise above freezing. * IMPACTS...Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute New Year`s Day.
  25. crossbowftw3
    The SPC map does show the elevations well- but probably overdone anyway as you say. But I still wouldn’t be shocked if some instances of accretions .3-.4 happen above 1500’.
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