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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    I’m more willing to take a 3-6/4-8 than wind up with nothing as well. Much easier to clear when you have a big driveway like I do. Took a cumulative five hours back on 12/17 to get everything away with limited assistance from plows.
  2. crossbowftw3
    Today’s runs will be of note. Everyone closest of 84 -and within 50-100 miles north is going to be doing some serious needle threading with this one if we have another sharp cutoff to contend with
  3. crossbowftw3
    In any case us N&W crew need to pay attention today. The difference between next to nothing, a 3-6/4-8 caliber event (in both cases with a cutoff of N-S being close to us) or a significant storm is pretty close at the moment.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Right now my P&C has temperatures getting close to 30-31 at the height of the storm so I’d naturally think closer to 10:1 for portions of the storm. I’m most likely wrong in my methodology for thinking so, mind you
  5. crossbowftw3
    We should be between 10-12:1 on this one and maybe higher at night. But still holding concern about that cutoff. Reasonable early guess for us is probably 5-8 and that can swing up or down very easily. It’s been a few years since we completely missed a storm and here’s hoping that streak doesn’t finally end here.
  6. crossbowftw3
    I share this concern as well. Would not be shocked if this sinks south and those of us in the HV north miss most of the action and maybe even eventually NYC.
  7. crossbowftw3
    Finished with around 2.5-3” or so depending on where I measured. Mostly powdery so it was an easy clear job. Watching this weekend with increased scrutiny.
  8. crossbowftw3
    still coming down at a decent clip but dryslot is encroaching quick. Probably will go over to snow/ZR-showery weather soon. Eyeballing about 1" or so.
  9. crossbowftw3
    28/18 here in Sullivan with a slight sound of sleet mixing in with the snow. Going with 2-4 here and erring lower as our window isn’t nearly as wide as it is for some of you here. I expect to see some 6” totals from north of here when this event is done.
  10. crossbowftw3
    Snow has rapidly picked up. Definitely entering the window for accumulations now as everything is whitening up. Slight sleet mix maybe? 28/18
  11. crossbowftw3
    Flakes beginning to fly in the Catskills. Expecting around 2-4 with a glaze of ice, erring on lower side as the window for good accumulations appears brief. It’ll hold through the end of this week at least- 29/16
  12. crossbowftw3
    Option 1 all the way even here, option 2 would just lead to a 2014-Type scenario where Boston gets multiple 20+” storms in the same month
  13. crossbowftw3
    Sometimes I still get a little angered when Boston gets more snow during a given event than even we do in the Catskills/HV
  14. crossbowftw3
    We may not need them here given that this would be over a longer duration though
  15. crossbowftw3
    We haven’t seen any such sustained 60s-70s during winter since the 2017-18 period. If that happens I wonder what may then occur over the rest of the winter.
  16. crossbowftw3
    Walt’s 4-7 guess for my area/extreme NEPA/NNJ would be a good high end
  17. crossbowftw3
    I’m gonna hang on to 2-4 for me in the Catskills and that’d be solid. Anything significantly more is pointing more or less at CPA and points west it would seem by this point.
  18. crossbowftw3
    General malaise that only the genius possess and the insane lament? We’re definitely teetering on the edge of a light event or something more moderate with some warning level totals, also with some perhaps making it into the city proper. I’d think some more eyes would be paying attention here.
  19. crossbowftw3
    and stays because we're entering the coldest stretch of this winter after that.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Some genuinely cold nights ahead after this frame
  21. crossbowftw3
    Looks like we're teetering on the edge here in Sullivan. If it comes to only getting 1-3 that'll still be fine but I need some more north trends to get into something good.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Looks like I got a slushy coating, which is now beginning to be washed away as we’ve flipped back to showers.
  23. crossbowftw3
    Elevations still best, I can’t count on more than a few inches.
  24. crossbowftw3
    And the split between synoptic and LES events
  25. crossbowftw3
    New BGM map. Once again 15-25 minutes is pretty much the difference from next to nothing to >=3-4”.
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