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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    What is exactly going on here with the GFS....?
  2. crossbowftw3
    Marginal warning at that, it would still be just as possible to issue a high end WWA for 4-7. Don't like the idea overall for anything over that this far inland
  3. crossbowftw3
    that's still close to upper bound WWA for inland areas
  4. crossbowftw3
    3-6 still seems good
  5. crossbowftw3
    I know not many here would care about NASCAR but the original President’s Day blizzard did something very similar and many call it the reason it exists as it does now
  6. crossbowftw3
    Probably take a blend of NAM and (insert guidance here) to get something that’ll probably end up close to reality; hence, 2-6 with pockets of 6-10
  7. crossbowftw3
    Wide swath of 5-8 with 10” lollies scattered about for 95
  8. crossbowftw3
    If the 12z suite moves towards this solution I would believe watches would be needed by the mid—afternoon cycle at earliest for OKX, BOS, and Mt. Holly
  9. crossbowftw3
    Let’s just say yes for sake of logic regarding Urban Heat islands
  10. crossbowftw3
    2-6 inland and 5-10 coasts iso 12” make sense?
  11. crossbowftw3
    Wow still looks good for 2-5 here but this is continuing to build into a coastal special
  12. crossbowftw3
    That’s overkill perhaps a much more useful guide on how long this pattern continues to sustain? https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:share:6763089451045535744
  13. crossbowftw3
    with temps getting at least a few degrees above freezing not much will survive the morning
  14. crossbowftw3
    there could be, but a very isolated exception rather than the norm
  15. crossbowftw3
    subfreezing highs to the Southern Coastlines would not be a good thing at all lol
  16. crossbowftw3
    Ceiling is still only 6-10/12 at most, thing is probably done by the time the game begins lol Either way, most conducive pattern in years for cold/snow. Just from the three biggest storms thus far we've already beaten what we got last year by over 10" with a full month to go, I'd call this winter a success so far for MBY.
  17. crossbowftw3
    Hanging in pretty good here in Sullivan to where I think 3-6 is probably plausible for Sunday. The coasts might actually get two legit 10+" storms in the same week for the first time in years
  18. crossbowftw3
    If I had to make an early guess I'd almost certainly bet 4-8/6-10 across the region with the 10 most common on the coasts and just inland. For @snywx @sferic and I 4-7" seems most plausible
  19. crossbowftw3
    Either way it’s actually a bit of a legit shock to see a pack-reinforcing storm to be coming so close behind such a “massive” blizzard as last weekend was, even if this looks more like a moderate event at best
  20. crossbowftw3
    If it does I would agree with the idea of 6-10 as a high end despite the fast movement—mainly focused on the coastal areas perhaps? Otherwise 3-6/4-8 event
  21. crossbowftw3
    non-accumulating snow now 29/27. another inch or so fell in the last few hours so final total probably ends at around 23". Easily a top 3 or 4 storm I've ever personally witnessed.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Started with 3” snow depth from last Tuesday, measured out 25” in three different spots so approximate final total is around 22” and still potentially delivering around another inch or two today. This is truly one for the books.
  23. crossbowftw3
    10” here, had to revise from my earlier guesstimate of a foot upon further precise measuring. Biggest flakes of the day now, would guess it’s only now falling back to around 10:1 ratio snow. Missing the bigger band just to my south.
  24. crossbowftw3
    You, like most everyone else in N/WCNJ is probably going to very easily make a run at 30”, if not 3’ by the time this is all said and done. The extra 1-3 or so tomorrow will be the cherry on top.
  25. crossbowftw3
    28/26 and continued moderate snow but still nothing overly heavy yet. Easily pushing a foot and with another 5-8 tonight we should easily make a run at 20” here. Snow has remained remarkably high-ratio and fluffy to this point.
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