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crossbowftw3

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  1. crossbowftw3
    No real reason to really think that this will touch what happened there (think the winter-like jet that was so prevalent with Isaias) but somewhere on the immediate coasts/just inland gets whacked. Max gusts probably around 70 for a time Friday morning. Everyone else inland sees at most 30-50, less the further in one goes.
  2. crossbowftw3
    Applying basic rules of cutting back max gusts, I would still suspect TS warnings need to become a possibility by this afternoon’s cycle. crazy to even think that we’re about to see back to back years with a landfalling TC somewhere in the megalopolis.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Easily can chop some of that off but somewhere on LI easily gets a gust between 50 and 70. Suspect TS warnings would be needed by this afternoon’s cycle if things stand. For us inland folks wind threat should be nominal at best.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Definitely noting the concern for flooding. Came back from an errand on Sunday (early day so limited crowds) and the Delaware (NY side/Narrowsburg) was already looking pretty angry. The hit and miss storms these next few days and whatever Elsa may bring will not help things.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Slight northern expansion of the enhanced risk into NNE today, the rest of us are still in slight risk for today.
  6. crossbowftw3
    Looks like a slight expansion of enhanced risk to the north into Maine on 1300z outlook. Rooting for you all to get some good storms today. Hoping for something as well even though I’m back in slight risk closer to NYC.
  7. crossbowftw3
    Should be a wild afternoon up in SNE, but we will still see something in our areas.
  8. crossbowftw3
    Tomorrow looks interesting. Should be an active one for all but CT/MA look like the bullseye and is marked well on today’s D2 outlooks. Some shifts probable but that area looks to be in for quite a show tomorrow.
  9. crossbowftw3
    73/72 here, Syracuse never fell below 80.
  10. crossbowftw3
    80/71 here. Sun is fully out so fixing to take off soon. Forecast high is 90 but wouldn’t be shocked if we end 3-4 degrees warmer. no reason to go outside anyway since I got a nice sunburn across my arms yesterday
  11. crossbowftw3
    Watch has finally gone up here in the Catskills, watching what comes from my west this afternoon/evening
  12. crossbowftw3
    Watch finally went up here. 60/20 on wind and 40/30 hail, not expecting much action until post-6/7 PM by which time who knows if the storms will begin to drop off by the time they get to my doorstep.
  13. crossbowftw3
    Those storms blew up right over me basically. Half an hour’s worth of heavy rain has stabilized things here. Radar presentation almost looks like an MCS beginning to bubble up. 72/71
  14. crossbowftw3
    It's pounding out there already. 53/46 is this Memorial Day weekend or the 1st week of March?
  15. crossbowftw3
    Temperatures tumbling down as the main line comes through but no noteworthy storms happening. 70/64
  16. crossbowftw3
    First severe watch for the season for me: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0205.html
  17. crossbowftw3
    rapidly becoming muggy. 78/66 for a rise of about 14 degrees in two hours
  18. crossbowftw3
    64/62 @ 8:23 AM. Gonna feel awful today, hope for a storm to cool things off. Window for storms here will be around 2-3 hours earlier than points SE of here, between 4-6 this afternoon.
  19. crossbowftw3
    Today does seem like the first real severe threat we’ll see for the summer; not everyone will see storms but I imagine areas that do could generate some reports. Meanwhile, the Midwestern states have a good chance to begin derecho season over the next two days. Very strong instability will be present both days coupled with other factors = likely evolutions both days into intense MCSs
  20. crossbowftw3
    cloudiness and showers around after the slug of rain Friday afternoon/evening?
  21. crossbowftw3
    Temperatures tumbling. 73/61
  22. crossbowftw3
    Front/windshift beginning to creep in, 79/64 while Binghamton has fallen to 68.
  23. crossbowftw3
    Mostly cloudy so far here, 72/63. Severe threat is marginal but worth watching the skies today.
  24. crossbowftw3
    Memorial Day plans looking at this with an unsteady glare
  25. crossbowftw3
    Significantly more cloudiness today. Despite this, slightly more humid at 83/60 right now.
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