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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    4” of rain at my location in the Catskills, with dry slot incoming to try and shut us off precip wise. If only this storm track happened two months from now with an actual cold supply
  2. crossbowftw3
    Look to be approaching 4” here and still raining at a very solid clip, but the dry slot is trying to come in and shut us off. After that our most significant rains are probably done here n/w of city proper.
  3. crossbowftw3
    If trends hold I’ll be very surprised if Upton doesn’t issue wind advisories for the rest of LI and maybe into NYC proper
  4. crossbowftw3
    Walt: I assume wind potential for us inland folks probably won’t be too significant? I’m thinking maybe higher spots see 40+ gusts but most everywhere sees 20-40.
  5. crossbowftw3
    I can’t imagine wind will be particularly notable for most folks inland n/w of the city. Closer to you there could be some wind later on but where I’m at I don’t expect winds to gust past 30-40
  6. crossbowftw3
    40-60
  7. crossbowftw3
    18z GFS still has some really crazy winds for ENE at 925
  8. crossbowftw3
    BOX already acting on high wind watches for their CWA—definitely going to be rocking on the coasts. Gusts 20-40 seem more likely the further inland one goes
  9. crossbowftw3
    the bat signal
  10. crossbowftw3
    One thing’s for sure: Nor’Easter season is preparing to come to life soon
  11. crossbowftw3
    Incredibly welcome news for NorCal, until it becomes too much of a good thing
  12. crossbowftw3
    Line rolling through my backyard now, definitely not performing up to spec with maybe some 30-40 MPH gusts here just a few minutes ago. Sky is also quickly brightening again in advance of the bigger wave of showers.
  13. crossbowftw3
    A done deal….now time to scream into oblivion and hope somebody can hear me scream
  14. crossbowftw3
    Heaviest showers finally moving off from here. Winds are picking up somewhat so the front very much is nearby.
  15. crossbowftw3
    Power went off for about 30 seconds just a few minutes ago. Welcome to fall.
  16. crossbowftw3
    Rain has commenced in earnest, although I still hold the belief that the heaviest rains might only really fall over a period of about the next 6 or so hours here. 72/69
  17. crossbowftw3
    All things considered it has genuinely been dry for the most part since then, and we go right back to being dry for a good chunk of this next week. Why not give the grass a little drink?
  18. crossbowftw3
    Already seeing some showers here on and off, 70/68. Aside from the severe threat this looks like a standard sustained 15G25-30 type of fall event with 1-3” of rain as the standard which is to say….blah.
  19. crossbowftw3
    Newest day 1 outlook shifts everything north, as I expected it to. I had a feeling the slight risk being so far south was so overdone with every successive HRRR nudging further north.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Leveled off with a final storm total of around 5”, which pretty much makes Ida surpass Isaias as the most rain I’ve seen from a TC since Irene
  21. crossbowftw3
    I’m in the 4” bracket in Sullivan, rain intensity (which was never really high all day) is beginning to lighten up a tad, with the back edge quite possibly making it here within the next 6 hours.
  22. crossbowftw3
    And we have also largely avoided the severe threat by being on the more stable side of the storm, have been just a constant steady stream of moderate rain all day long.
  23. crossbowftw3
    Being nearby in adjacent SENY I can verify—4” and counting, likely seeing 6+ here.
  24. crossbowftw3
    It’s definitely a good thing that: A. It’ll largely be done by overnight B. the next four or so days look to be high and dry, and very comfortable at that
  25. crossbowftw3
    Have more than likely eclipsed 4” at this point if the Beach Lake obs can be extrapolated to my house in Narrowsburg given the close proximity, stay safe everyone in CNJ
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