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crossbowftw3

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  1. crossbowftw3
    This one’s going to the wire, wouldn’t shock me if you guys closer to NYC (and south) cash in on this one just as long as you let us inland folks have this weekend’s potential
  2. crossbowftw3
    We’ve seen these things before, and wouldn’t shock me if that’s the case here. Nearly 30” in South central VA through at pure 10:1 though, lol.
  3. crossbowftw3
    It’s like living in Groundhog Day, another rainy and foggy Christmas morning. At least there’s no wind to deal with today.
  4. crossbowftw3
    Actually has just been full liquid so far in Sullivan, albeit I live in probably one of the lowest elevation areas of the county (still at 700’)
  5. crossbowftw3
    Advisories populated now, most for 1-3” and maybe a bit of ice before most go to rain. Still all snow north of us.
  6. crossbowftw3
    Coming back to this hours later: daytime event only places a cap on the level of accretions. Probably only up to .2” ice at most in elevation
  7. crossbowftw3
    Taking typical QPF reductions into consideration, and in conjunction with how temperatures should possibly be right between 29-32 for the event, you still probably see a solid .1-.3 event. Still enough to draw some advisories or even a short fuse ice storm warning for anything more. Elevation remains key.
  8. crossbowftw3
    Right at 50 here at quarter past in the Catskills with little wind to speak of yet. Clearing skies are on their way to our friends in WNY—they’re gonna get whacked. I did not but certainly had downpours here.
  9. crossbowftw3
    Maybe a bit of both?
  10. crossbowftw3
    Not yet interested in what models are showing for next week. Call me again in 3-4 days so I can scramble to pull out my snow cleaning equipment
  11. crossbowftw3
    We stopped right around 1.25-1.5” here, made for a decent first snow. More surely to come as this winter wears on.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Actually coming down at a solid clip in Sullivan, wouldn’t be shocked to squeeze out a couple inches
  13. crossbowftw3
    The rain very briefly came to an end here before it quickly picked back up again. Guess I will break 5” in a storm for the second time in seven weeks
  14. crossbowftw3
    Rain has finally subsided in Sullivan, now time to see about the second wave and how close in it can approach.
  15. crossbowftw3
    It would appear the low’s stalling and retrograding back west process has commenced
  16. crossbowftw3
    Dry slot never properly overtook me apparently (upslope/enhancement?), it’s still coming down albeit at a much slower clip compared to earlier. Must be closing in on 5” with about 12 hours of rain remaining.
  17. crossbowftw3
    I’m far enough away from NYC that I would be considered as just being on the fringes of this subforum, if that helps.
  18. crossbowftw3
    4” of rain at my location in the Catskills, with dry slot incoming to try and shut us off precip wise. If only this storm track happened two months from now with an actual cold supply
  19. crossbowftw3
    Look to be approaching 4” here and still raining at a very solid clip, but the dry slot is trying to come in and shut us off. After that our most significant rains are probably done here n/w of city proper.
  20. crossbowftw3
    If trends hold I’ll be very surprised if Upton doesn’t issue wind advisories for the rest of LI and maybe into NYC proper
  21. crossbowftw3
    Walt: I assume wind potential for us inland folks probably won’t be too significant? I’m thinking maybe higher spots see 40+ gusts but most everywhere sees 20-40.
  22. crossbowftw3
    I can’t imagine wind will be particularly notable for most folks inland n/w of the city. Closer to you there could be some wind later on but where I’m at I don’t expect winds to gust past 30-40
  23. crossbowftw3
    40-60
  24. crossbowftw3
    18z GFS still has some really crazy winds for ENE at 925
  25. crossbowftw3
    BOX already acting on high wind watches for their CWA—definitely going to be rocking on the coasts. Gusts 20-40 seem more likely the further inland one goes
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