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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Velocity scans to the SW in that more splotchy looking stuff are crazy. But wonder how much is actually able to mix down. Seeing pixels of over 100mph but at like 6-7kft.
  2. Would think if anything forms it will be no worse than the straight line wind threat from these. Just may be a gustnado or similar if that keeps the bend in the line going.
  3. The kink in the line is probably going to get a very brief "bookend vortex" style spinny.
  4. Yep. We probably needed a combo of this coming through during daylight, and also more breaks in the clouds during the day...and less crapvection. Perhaps any combo of two would have worked.
  5. LWX velocity scans are picking up 40-50mph winds around and passing the radar site (under 500ft) heading east. Looks like they are broadbrush warning the entire line. Entire metro severe t'storm warning.
  6. The biggest question will be how much of this will be able to mix down now that the sun is down.
  7. Velocities 3-5kft off the ground are impressive with the line coming near Culpeper now.
  8. And another factor for any forced line later (or synoptic winds, for that matter) is that for areas that get a dumping of heavy rain - the soggy ground could make even sub-severe gusts capable of tree damage.
  9. The latest HRRR (still rolling out now) still has a substantial forced line for later on - with a weird bend/kink in the line modeled right near the DC metro area. Wind gust product looks decent as well. Regardless of how stable we are - that line later will probably still pack a "punch" even if it's the sudden 50mph sub-severe variety.
  10. Decent wall of rain and a bit of a wind gust just now in Colesville, MD as it hit.
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