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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    I'm getting sunshine in Colesville despite radar returns being over me lol
  2. Kmlwx
    @yoda
  3. Kmlwx
    The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there.
  4. Kmlwx
    I mean - my rational side says that all the junk around is going to lessen our threat substantially - but the Morgantown cell plus that one entering WV from OH does have me intrigued as those are heading in our general direction.
  5. Kmlwx
    Good lord yes it is. Certainly for this part of the country. "large and extremely dangerous tornado" text on it.
  6. Kmlwx
    Honestly at this point if that precip blog survives the mountains maybe we can just get a few hours of soaking rain...
  7. Kmlwx
    Yeah all that junk to the north and west is killer. It's a huge blob of sub-severe rain
  8. Kmlwx
    Kind of impressive that the SE OH cells are showing a bit on the LWX radar (in GR2AE3)
  9. Kmlwx
    This sort of thing has happened before. But also somebody noted a little further up that Convective Temps are like 95 today. So without the better forcing from the front we might not have much going on until later. Also @yoda - I'd think so - but quite of bit of seemingly stratiform junk in front of that stuff as well. A messy radar picture as a whole other than the organized stuff down south.
  10. Kmlwx
    A little shower popping near Brunswick now.
  11. Kmlwx
    It's beyond the echo tops product range for LWX too! Impressive that it's showing so strongly. Must have a heck of an updraft...
  12. Kmlwx
    Hopefully the VA storms don't rob energy - I think they have enough separation. That severe cell back in WV may be awfully far away to be our threat...will have to see if anything can trigger along the ridges and such.
  13. Kmlwx
    That's one thing that during our heat stretches this year...the dewpoints haven't been mixing down as low as they have in prior heatwaves. That makes a ton of difference for sensible weather...sure we hit 100 sometimes but often the dews would drop back into the 60s. Being up near the century mark and having dews stay well into the 70s is nasty. Radar looks meh for the DC region for now - but that activity down deep in VA looks decent. Will have to see if anything more substantial pops up closer in. Some of the CAMs yesterday had a sort of gap in the activity between SEPA and Central VA/Southern Maryland leaving some of us high and dry (relatively speaking).
  14. Kmlwx
    MCDs seem to be surrounding us lol Also 86/78 here. Thought my dewpoint was suspect but @MN Transplant gives me some confidence in it.
  15. Kmlwx
    Would think a mesoscale discussion would be coming in the next 1-2 hours. But only guessing.
  16. Kmlwx
    Uptick in lightning near Jerryville, WV
  17. Kmlwx
    It's Yoda accidentally refreshing this page instead of the SPC site.
  18. Kmlwx
    @dendrite - @Wow - just bumping here as it seems like the same symptom(s) are back today. Lots of intermittent CloudFlare issues. Getting hit be foreign IPs again?
  19. Kmlwx
    The board is having issues again it looks like
  20. Kmlwx
    14z HRRR continues to be fairly bullish. I'm relatively "in" so far.
  21. Kmlwx
    Red circled area looks decent...
  22. Kmlwx
    Severe wx is fickle....impossible for any of us to say. 5 miles makes a huge difference on days like today for sensible weather. If nothing else - 80 miles isn't terrible in the grand scope of things...and I guess there are worse places to be than Columbia
  23. Kmlwx
    I've always been vocal in my opinion that I love our summer severe crew. With a few notable exceptions over the years we all just seem to mostly get along and not stir up the drama like the larger crowds in winter. Sure....every now and then we get the ethics debate about "rooting for" severe weather. But all in all, we are just fellow weather weenies trudging through the hot, humid, disgusting days of spring through early fall until we can start tracking first frost/freeze. This is banter, and I am being a little overly nostalgic - but I mean this wholeheartedly when I say it: Some of my most fond weather memories have been centered around Eastern/AmWx over the years. Sure...the actual weather events themselves are the "core" - but I've experienced them alongside all of you. I've had the pleasure of meeting some great characters from here in person at the conferences as well. Whether we bust today (or in general) or not...gotta say ya'll are awesome.
  24. Kmlwx
  25. Kmlwx
    Our severe crew isn't always up super early (except @yoda who seems to never sleep lol). We don't do the wall-to-wall posting as well as the larger winter crowd. I'd expect by 9-10am you'll get some more of the folks posting in here. Pretty cloud in Colesville, MD right now. Haven't looked at visible sat yet though
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