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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Question will become whether it will maintain strength as it crosses the boundary into the more stable airmass north of the front.
  2. Kmlwx
    This is extremely lame so far.
  3. Kmlwx
    Tstm watch for areas west of the metro area.
  4. Kmlwx
    The warned cell is exhibiting some supcellular qualities
  5. Kmlwx
    Appears to be a boundary just south of the Potomac running across DC and then into Maryland. Visible nicely on satellite and even a bit on radar too.
  6. Kmlwx
    15z HRRR keeps everything north and west of the cities. Doesn't get much at all into the metro corridor.
  7. Kmlwx
    Definitely looks like a little "tongue" of clearing is working it's way into central MoCo.
  8. Kmlwx
    Delmarva starting to erode the wedge but no such luck in the DC/Balt area.
  9. Kmlwx
    Making a little progress - looks like DCA is out of the wedge and maybe even the southern parts of MoCo.
  10. Kmlwx
    I tend to just use them to get an idea of where the "best" activity might be - and also to look for consistency. Other than that I don't really think they have much use. I've seen days where they look crazy and we get nothing as well as days where just a little green shows up and we get multiple TORs
  11. Kmlwx
    10z run of UD helicity swath map
  12. Kmlwx
    The stupid UD helicity swath map
  13. Kmlwx
    Example from the 11z run - using the COD site - https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
  14. Kmlwx
    Consistency at least - of course it could be consistently wrong... But 11z HRRR has almost the same thing.
  15. Kmlwx
    10z HRRR sends a legit looking supercell over Central Maryland this PM
  16. Kmlwx
    Are we looking at the same NAM? I don't see much of anything to get excited about on the NAM (18z OR 00z)
  17. Kmlwx
    Tomorrow's threat appears to now be focused NW of the area by the longer range HRRR and the 3km NAM
  18. Kmlwx
    Long range 12z HRRR (lol) has a streak of very nice UD helicity across the area tomorrow PM. Both today and tomorrow look good on simradar
  19. Kmlwx
    Days and days and days of MRGL
  20. Kmlwx
    To be honest- hearing my friends (non weather enthusiasts) and coworkers - most people still do not understand which is worse (watch vs warning). A lot of this is ignorance - watches don't trigger CMAS so it should be fairly obvious to the public that "TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY" is more serious than "CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE"
  21. Kmlwx
    The latest (11z) HRRR has essentially nothing
  22. Kmlwx
    I'm right around 270 and Montrose - evil looking clouds but no tornado of course. Then heavy rain.
  23. Kmlwx
    And he's back
  24. Kmlwx
    You seem awfully bullish. Who are you?
  25. Kmlwx
    That frontal analysis on the meso discussion map indicates warmfront nearby. That will definitely enhance tornado risk.
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