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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    The only thing I've noticed that is consistent on most of the models is that it doesn't seem to be a high CAPE environment at all. Highest sounding SBCAPE I've seen is sub 1000 J/KG
  2. Kmlwx
    I hate 100+ and humid unless we are going to have severe to track. Blech lol
  3. Kmlwx
    Also we are going to start to enter our normal "pulse severe" phase time of year as we get through June and into July. I hope we can keep some of the nice shear we've had to work with this year. Imagine a 100+ degree day with high dews and nice shear combining with a good forcing mechanism.
  4. Kmlwx
    Without an Ivan we probably won't get that. Even days like La Plata and College Park featured one biggie and not more widespread naders.
  5. Kmlwx
    That's typically how severe is around here though. Two HoCo tornadoes in the span of around a week, big hail even in downtown DC, is pretty decent. Something like June 2012 is going to be very tough to come by. Wednesday looks incredibly meh to me right now
  6. Kmlwx
    I'm out for now on Wednesday. The models seem to indicate we won't have a whole lot of instability to work with. NAM nest (at range) focuses any severe threat in KY/TN and Western NC it seems. It just sends a line of showers through Wed PM.
  7. Kmlwx
    Pretty tame in Columbia - but today was a BIG hail day for a good chunk of the area. Wow...severe season has been generous to this region this year. Let's see what we can do Wednesday.
  8. Kmlwx
    Good storms would be a nice way to end the weekend. I've been out on the bay all day so haven't had a chance to catch up until now. I'm in for meh storms - not in for widespread severe. I'll be back in Columbia by the time they are moving in...so just give me some good structure moving in from the north and west and I"ll be happy.
  9. Kmlwx
    Severe is so fickle.
  10. Kmlwx
    Upload to Imgur maybe and then post link. Can't wait to see!
  11. Kmlwx
    Missing it from work again...as usual.
  12. Kmlwx
    Deets! Wild month for Columbia area!
  13. Kmlwx
    Warning expects it to be near FDK around 2:45.
  14. Kmlwx
    Shocked LWX hasn't stuck a warning on it.
  15. Kmlwx
    Nice radar presentation. Echo tops aren't that high
  16. Kmlwx
    Possible rotation near Antietam?
  17. Kmlwx
    Latest HRRR has initiation around the metros around 18z.
  18. Kmlwx
    12z HRRR also looks good. I'm in so far for today. Pending meltdown runs that take it all away, of course
  19. Kmlwx
    11z HRRR is really nice for a lot of us. I'd take that in a heartbeat. @nw baltimore wx - hope you're staying cool! Power outages are no fun. My family was without power for something like 6.5 days after the blizzards in 2010 and like 5 or so after the derecho.
  20. Kmlwx
    NAM nest sucks except for a lone supercell-type storm that goes right over DC. Distinct possibility some of us blank on all 3 days...
  21. Kmlwx
    That might end up being one of the sole severe reports in this CWA.
  22. Kmlwx
    Pity meso.
  23. Kmlwx
    Line bowing out in SCentral PA might get into NE Maryland.
  24. Kmlwx
    Weird warning polygon on that cell. Wonder if it's an error.
  25. Kmlwx
    Hail marker showing up in Frederick County on the developing cell. Maybe it can be a cap breaker. ETA: Annnnnnd it's gone
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