Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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Although... Let's shoot for a moderate with the evening SPC update
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Perhaps - but it certainly isn't going to be a derecho.
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We'll have to hope for boundaries to touch off more activity.
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HRRR seems to have a comically bad handle on the present convection in PA
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Satellite indicated!
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Yeah that had been well modeled too from guidance earlier in the day.
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There hasn't been any associated increase on CIPS or anything yet.
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Does seem we could go into a NW flow threat in a bit. That could make for some nice opportunity if things setup properly and timing works out. Won't hold my breath for now.
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Things look good for some storms tomorrow PM. If the main line on the models was a bit faster we'd be in great shape. Seems most models have some cells out front and then a dying line around 02-04z
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Haven't looked yet - ring of fire?
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Hope for a wicked EML, good trigger, good timing and spectacular shear and you'll be very pleased.
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I don't see much severe risk upcoming.
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Any exciting weather really. As long as it's not just triple digit heat and sun
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Even a June 4, 2008 would be more than fine. I can think of a bunch of events that would be acceptable. 20080604 20100725 20120629 20130613 Ivan too of course.
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At this point I'm all for reshuffling the pattern. Anybody for NW flow/ring of fire pattern? I'm okay with 100 and humid if it produces CAPE of 6000 and a massive line of storms.
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this is lame...
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It is quite cloudy this morning
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I just looked expecting to see very impressive panels...and was disappointed. Those returns look okay but nothing great.
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I'm pretty meh on tomorrow - I think we'll get some storms but I'm not sure it'll be a "big" severe day by any means.
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It's kind of weird seeing old posts from myself sometimes
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Unfortunately we don't tend to do well when we need timing or moving parts to come together
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After some legit severe days around here I've been disappointed recently. Guess I can't complain after having two tornadoes in a weeks time frame go right by my apartment.
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The SPC discussion is rather "meh" overall. It certainly doesn't look as robust as those one or two NAM runs. Seems like they might have been flukes...
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You're also more famous than me...so you're at a higher risk. If anybody wants to mess with me they won't do much damage to little old me.
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Easily the most stalkerish thing that's happened to me on there since I joined years ago. I always try to be careful - especially posting stuff about my job in the sysadmin subreddit. High five on making me paranoid before bed last night.
