Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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I want to witness comet sized hail.
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SARS putting out a decent amount of sounding analog results too...
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I'll take the accolades and sweep the fact that it was dumb luck under the carpet
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Gusty shower went through Colesville, MD a few minutes ago while I was eating lunch. Nothing significant.
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Mesoanalysis has mid-level lapse rates getting crappier but low level lapse rates still steepening.
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That would be so cool to see here. Not getting my hopes up - but let's do it!
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Winchester, Martinsburg and Hagerstown all have dews in the 30s this morning. But they are also pretty far west. Let's see what the next few hours hold.
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With dews in the 40s and temps in the 50s - I'm not at all enthused for anything more than a breezy shower or two and a rumble of thunder.
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Simulated echo tops aren't that impressive - so things will probably be low topped. But isn't the freezing level pretty low?
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The latest (10z) HRRR actually looks pretty good around, and to the east of DC in the 16-17z timeframe.
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I should have said - at least at this stage - it's going to be all about whether it's even there or not...
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Going to be all about timing and the usual stuff!
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12z Euro with a bowling ball at H5 post 200hrs
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I agree with this like 90% of the time - and definitely for tornadoes I agree for sure. If you're looking downburst winds and large hail - I would argue that huge CAPE values and maybe a little to be desired on the shear/dynamics side of things could potentially serve you better...more pulsey and isolated for sure, though. But yes - I would take your combo over the opposite more often than not.
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Looks quiet for now. GFS had maybe a window around April 23rd.
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PEPCO only has 2,400 outages so far. I'm sure that'll come up a bit. Not bad for a start to severe season.
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Not seeing anything on LSRs yet other than some wind reports. Probably just the lag like EJ said,.
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Less lightning/thunder than a really good summer-time storm - but the wind and such made this better than a lot of summer storms. Good severe day!
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Really nice gust here (there was another decent one a few minutes ago). This is near Colesville, MD.
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Going to miss me JUST to the north it looks like. Darkening up here big time.
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Lightning strikes ahead of the line showing up on the ENTLN data.
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Any damage reports coming in yet?
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THat MoCo cell looks really good all of a sudden. Tail-end charlie FTW if it holds.
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LWX going with the big warning polygons.
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Next line (for the moment) looks very lackluster other than the Washington County portion.
