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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    I'll be very curious to see the UNL Drought Monitor update next Thursday.
  2. Kmlwx
    Odds seem (as always) low at this point. But if that trough gets cutoff or goes sufficiently negative i don't see why that -couldn't- happen. Seems lots of options are on the table (as always). But that is the big wildcard scenario IMO for east coast impacts.
  3. Kmlwx
    Late reply, sorry! GREarth (requires subscription)
  4. Kmlwx
    Wow this training line looks like it means business. Multiple possible spinny areas embedded in it. Tropical system life!
  5. Kmlwx
    The activity in Charles County, MD has beefed up recently.
  6. Kmlwx
    That stuff east and northeast of Richmond bears watching as it heads up into our area.
  7. Kmlwx
    1hr rotation tracks
  8. Kmlwx
    Just saw they are discontinuing the streamgage near me...seems like a funding issue. Bummed out - https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/01650500/#parameterCode=00065&period=P7D&showMedian=false @Eskimo Joe - Is county funding not something that can help here? Probably a discussion for DM or banter. Seems a few other gauges in the area are "endangered" as well.
  9. Kmlwx
    Decent looking couplet approaching Rockville.
  10. Kmlwx
    Tornado Watch reissued until 2pm.
  11. Kmlwx
    https://caps.ou.edu/reu/reu21/finalpapers/Sloan_FinalPaper.pdf
  12. Kmlwx
    Doesn't LWX have some additional responsibility for the Chesapeake Bay? I might be wrong.
  13. Kmlwx
    If that track verifies - the conditional TOR threat would certainly be present.
  14. Kmlwx
    Lord GooFus
  15. Kmlwx
    Disgusting out there with a 78 dewpoint....heat index over 100 here already.
  16. Kmlwx
    It's far enough west that it bring a tornado threat into play.
  17. Kmlwx
    If only we were in S PA. CSU MLP and SPC seem decently enthusiastic about their odds for severe t'storms today.
  18. Kmlwx
    Lately it seems like the first REALLY refreshing air masses don't show up until well into October lol
  19. Kmlwx
    Latest HRRR sucks horribly.
  20. Kmlwx
    NAM nest rolling in now is weaker and HRRR seems less enthusiastic as well.
  21. Kmlwx
    The usually stingy HRRR is actually semi-decent - maybe not for severe but storms across a decent chunk of the area. Of course there will be deadzones and jackpots. CAMs vary in coverage and intensity.
  22. Kmlwx
    Little signal at Day 8 for CSU-MLP
  23. Kmlwx
    1999! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Floyd
  24. Kmlwx
    It will be interesting to see what the tropics do once they wake up in mid-August and beyond. Of course it's always low odds, but if it's as busy as the experts expect - would think something either gives us remnants from a Gulf strike or maybe this is the year an Isabel or similar returns.
  25. Kmlwx
    I feel like it's going to take a tropical system or strong remnants to get us out of this "funk" - other than the big tornado day this has been an exceedingly calm season IMO. I'm a big proponent of the "rubber band effect" though. Whenever we break the boredom it will be significant in nature.
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