Kmlwx
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About Kmlwx
- Birthday 09/14/1991
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The longer range 12z HRRR looked really solid....
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Funny how sometimes we don't get a watch until there's a consolidating/existing line of storms well into the area. Other times there's hardly anything on radar except at the outskirts and we get a watch.
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I guess this is good if it's accurate - maybe not so good if it's not so hot. I didn't see the HRRR referenced in that PDF - is that continuing?
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Okay I've had enough summer now. Time for fall!
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My PWS is reporting (likely incorrectly) a dew point over 80F lol
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Now showing 251!
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You know we are out of skinny CAPE season when we are seeing echo tops at or above 50kft.
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PWS has already picked up 101 lightning strikes and counting. Sub-severe here but POURING and tons of thunder. Messy looking radar as well. Appetizer for tomorrow?
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If we ever get a 60% wind for us I will promptly perish.
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Thursday seems as though it may carry potential - but it's ages away.
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- I was like - I don't remember posting recently in obs!
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Cool looking outflow on radar as well!
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From watching this tool this spring so far - it seems like it way overdoes things - I'm not even sure it works on the same percentages as SPC...so take those maps with a grain (or a handful) of salt. I've been using it more of a "first look" at which days to look at closer.
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The NCAR AI convective page is highlighting some impressive severe potential next Thursday...honestly very impressed with how robust it is this far out...(link below) https://www2.mmm.ucar.edu/projects/ncar_ensemble/ainwp/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR3_KcoSRHWhY1lxCTCfOqSNC0AD8SUSmL_c7R_N8rtpvo-PsNNvuY3vuI4_aem_Stpgx3ntIqB8IVErFY76cQ
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"EXCLUSIVE!"
