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Kmlwx

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About Kmlwx

  • Birthday 09/14/1991

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Colesville, MD
  • Interests
    Meteorology, Packers, local crime news

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  1. Kmlwx
    Everything "feels" juiced today. At least for heavy rain. Was driving from Odenton back to my folk's house in Colesville and it started lightly raining and I wasn't even under any returns on the LWX radar.
  2. Kmlwx
    The GFS seems to be pretty insistent that something might pop and at least get close to the CONUS before a recurve.
  3. Kmlwx
    The GFS has been pretty insistent something develops and heads at least in the general direction of the CONUS. We'll see.
  4. Kmlwx
    Stats are funny/cool. One thing I've always considered is that on some potential severe weather days, the CIPS guidance will often have a locally higher "bullseye" of probabilities roughly centered over the DC area. I do not think that is necessarily purely authentic. Since it is correlated to storm reports in the analogs it finds, it is reasonable to assume that it will highlight areas where there are more storm reports in an analog....and of course, a heavily populated urban area is going to have a higher concentration on a comparable severe event that happens over a rural area.
  5. Kmlwx
    Looking at the ensembles and other guidance, I do think if the overall 500mb pattern is true...we might get a shot at more NW flow-style severe events beyond the first week of August. While not perfect matches, I do see an similar angle to the 500mb flow from some of our notable severe events from the past.
  6. Kmlwx
    Meanwhile all the PEPCO hate from the 2000s and 2010s has largely faded. Their tree trimming program and preventive maintenance has been absurd the past 10 years or so. An event like yesterday in the earlier 2000s could have easily have 250K+ customers without power in the region.
  7. Kmlwx
    Looking ahead, the various AI guidance is pretty darn quiet (quieter than I've seen in a while) for the next 8+ days. Beyond that, we'll see. I know we have some heat lovers...but I personally am glad we are at least beyond the peak climo heat period in the area.
  8. Kmlwx
    Yeah I just saw that on PulsePoint! Power outage counts from BGE are surprisingly tame given that wind. Looks like some wires down on Patuxent Rd down near Woodwardville as well.
  9. Kmlwx
    Heck yeah it was! Those winds were impressive. And then the area of rotation went right over us! You have any damage? I don't see any from the windows but the power was flickering a ton. I wonder how the Waugh Chapel Substation fared.
  10. Kmlwx
    There might be something trying to form near Ashton/Cloverly in MoCo. Seems like a bow trying to get a notch.
  11. Kmlwx
    The terminal radars are going to be very useful as always during this. We are VERY spoiled by having this sort of radar coverage in our region. TDCA has an intense wind signature showing up in MoCo just N of Gaithersburg. It might be trying to form a little "notch" too.
  12. Kmlwx
    That always shows up during precipitation/storms
  13. Kmlwx
    LWX going with the mega warnings
  14. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis hail parameters have been increasing the past few hours as well. Matches up with the hail portions of the warnings ramping up.
  15. Kmlwx
    Saving the most meh for last!
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