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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    High here was 28.8F....dropped back about a degree to 27.6F now. Everything glazed though hearing a few pingers in the past 15 min, so starting to cool aloft or at least maybe saturate the DGZ again.
  2. ORH_wxman
    Should flip all the way imminently....you can see it moving east
  3. ORH_wxman
    Pretty much all guidance has that high now...it's just a question of whether it presses down enough at the same time we're getting that low ejecting from the MS and TN valleys. I currently don't expect much of anything in SNE right now out of that setup, but it is something to keep an eye on. NNE could easily get out of the "torch period" unscathed if things break right.
  4. ORH_wxman
    You can see the mix line collapsing back east on CC now. Looks like it just went through Hartford and Springfield further south
  5. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I thought it would be more sleety than ZR given how marginal the warm layer is, but we have a solid glaze on everything...pretty sure at least 0.1" already. But it's possible that the drying aloft in the mid-levels (esp in the DGZ) helped it go to ZR quicker.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Don't overplay the trend here...it's pretty weak sauce still, but a period of light snow is looking more plausible.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Solid layer of ice on everything now. Crust on top of the snow.
  8. ORH_wxman
    EPS def more robust than 00z which were basically a clean whiff. 12z gets much of CT/RI and SE MA into that 1-2" range. With maybe one more little push, there could be some advisory type snows.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Yeah we were even discussing how far west the ridge and trough axis was for the storm today and thinking there was a good chance it would come NW which it did. This one doesn't have that look. This one is all about separating the two broken PV pieces and that trend hasn't been favorable the last few days.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Maybe an inch or two for S CT. Improvement over 00z, but still not enough to entertain anything significant. Ceiling for this is probably an advisory event at this point.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Flipped pellets while i was outside shoveling. Had about 4" prior to flip....prob like 3.5 now with the pellets pounding into the snow.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Puking fatties in Holliston...looks like close to 4"....but wil measure when the flip happens.
  13. ORH_wxman
    Yeah you'd think....we get those types of systems on a semi-regular basis. GGEM trying to do it too, but it's a little warmer....more of a ZR interior threat (snow for NNE though)
  14. ORH_wxman
    Getting the first sign that it's warming aloft since we're starting to get larger aggregates mixed in with the smaller hooked dendrites. Really pounding right now though...this is 1" per hour stuff.
  15. ORH_wxman
    GFS actually has a snow/ice threat for next Wednesday...sneaky high moves in and prevents everything from torching. That idea has been showing up off and on different guidance actually, so it bears watching.
  16. ORH_wxman
    It def overperformed for most of RI/SE MA...solid advisory snow amounts when a lot of forecasts were 1-2" or 1-3"
  17. ORH_wxman
    Must be hammering in Scooter-land right now
  18. ORH_wxman
    Prob between 4-5pm there...doubt you tack on much...maybe a few tenths or half an inch.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Mix line has sped up in the past 30 min or so....we'll see if ti temporarily slows again before it makes it's pike push
  20. ORH_wxman
    This event is pretty close to being something big, but the two piece of PV just aren't quite separated enough...so it gets crunched just south. Gonna be a tease in the end....might be some light snow amounts, especially for southern areas, but unlikely anyone gets warning snowfall.
  21. ORH_wxman
    A lot of guidance has some weak isentropic lift Thursday night, so it's possible there is some light snow Thursday evening/overnight. Doesn't look like anything plowable, but a coating to an inch of pure blower feathers wouldn't be a total shock.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Mix is about 6-8 miles south of KBOX radar it looks like
  23. ORH_wxman
    RGEM and ICON are mildly interesting…esp if you’re on the south coast. But would be nice to see one of the non-GGEM globals show more interest.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Excellent snow growth….I cleared the car off to drive my kids to school so everything on the car is in the past 2 hours. Stacking up quickly now.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I mentioned earlier that this zone might be a localized jackpot with some 5-6" lollis potentially...it's just pounding dendrites.
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