ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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ORH set a record low max yesterday....high of 39F. Old record was 41F. That leaves only 1 day now in April with record low max of 40F+....4/29/02 with a high of 40F.
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We are mixing with flakes now. Below 36F seems to be the magic number.
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Over to light snow in ORH.
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We were def just getting some cat paws splatting on the deck outside in these heavier echos. I was out covering the grill after dinner and didn’t believe it at first so I double checked and the temp is down to around 36.5-37 so it’s definitely likely 90-95% melted flakes that I saw.
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You came a little too late to experience the string of winter Marches in SNE....we'd been on a March snow binge before this year. Your 'hood probably had 16-17" last year on 3/4. Then of course we had the back to back monsters in March 2018 with snow cover basically the entire month (ditto 2017 on near-entire month snowpack). Hopefully we have a real winter next year.
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Oops, my other post was wrong thread....moved it. Still wonder if we get a few flakes in E MA this late afternoon/evening. 900mb gets down to around -4C....with -2C getting just below 925mb. So if there's anything steady, it may make the surface as flakes.
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Pattern looks like horseshit going forward. Hopefully this coming weekend pans out though....we could get lucky and sneak in a couple COC days.
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There’s def a few homes at Stratton that go over 2500. I’ve looked like pickles probably has. They get close to 2600 right on the mountain there. Big homes that cost a lot of $$ though. Lol.
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The storm is disjointed on more recent runs. You actually have the best part of the WCB getting shoved east into the gulf of Maine and Nova Scotia with a weaker piece back over New England. Then the CCB tries to get going a little bit back over NY state before it jumps east over Maine (and tries to graze E MA late Monday)... The disjointedness really lowers the potential in this compared to a couple days ago when some of those runs were more coherent with the WCB/CCB combo.
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Yeah it’s cold. It’s going to snow right down to the coast if we can get that CCB forcing. Question is whether it’s mostly 34-35F non-accumulating 0.05”/hr type stuff or if we can get a few hours of 0.08-0.10 mixed in there to get some legit accumulations.
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Euro improved again on the CCB for E MA. Might be some accumulation Monday evening depending on rates.
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Lol that was hilarious. It was particularly funny because of how dignified the staff at JJ Foleys handled it. Rather than just tell us to leave, they said something like “I think you fellows might be a bit more comfortable in our private back room”.
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Randolph to Rangeley corridor. That’s the best bet at the moment for good snows from both WCB and CCB.
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The trend has been to drift this north and east late in the game so I’m wondering if we lose it the next couple runs.
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As long as the low gets captured it’s real. Can’t have it escaping northeast though.
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I would think you are totally fine doing that. You are bringing food and going to your own property.
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He had a great career. Nailed April 96 twins before anyone else I recall.
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The 18z ncep suite was def north. We’ll see if that sticks or not. Seems like we’ve been oscillating quite a lot from run to run.
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Yeah 20% for 6” at ORH is pretty big this far out in late April.
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Almost every model run today has had that. Even the northern NAM there. Further south runs have a bigger impact but it’s telling that even the northern runs are trying for it. Something to track at least.
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Pretty far north this run....that's a C NH to western Maine special.
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Yeah we want to see a nice re-intensification near or just S of ACK when that ULL pinwheels into place. I think the WCB stuff is going to end up too warm here...but the CCB has a chance if it can be organized well....get things saturated into the 600mb range where we have -12C temps and get the lift in that zone too.
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Congrats Katahdin.
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After getting 8-10"+ last friday night and probably 3-5" today...and then another huge threat later next week.
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Somewhere in S Maine is in the sweet spot to get both the WCB and CCB snows....probably the typical hills near Sebago lakes region given the time of year. Bigger threat down in MA is definitely the CCB at the end which could surprise later on Monday/Monday night....though the WCB is marginal for ORH county possibly...doesn't have to tick much colder to be a full thrashing there.
