ORH_wxman

You can order them fully assembled and get it delivered for like 7-8k I’ve seen. If you’re willing to do a little work yourself, it’s like 3-4K.

Are we convinced we don’t see a coolish shot Friday/Saturday? Euro’s not too impressed but other guidance shows potential. Are we also convinced FROPA on the deep trough doesn’t happen 9/29ish?

Early October looks cold on EPS.

40F at CEF too. BDL hasn’t decoupled yet though.

OWD 40F and TAN 39F already. CON/ASH haven’t decoupled yet and still hanging near 50F.

Find a little elevated hollow on the edge of the ice gulch forest near him at 2k feet that probably radiates to -40 every winter. LOL.

Yeah when the temps matter the most, you’d rather trade radiating ability for elevation. I couldn’t radiate worth a damn on winter hill in ORH but it was always one of the single best spots in town for snow.

That was the main cabin. The bunkhouse is separate.

Oh nice. Yeah a space that small and insulated well won’t take much to make it very warm.

I gotta ask him....is the bunkhouse heated? I didn’t see a wood stove, lol.

Yeah as great as that winter was, I’m always left with the “what could have been” feeling.... There’s some alternate universe where we avoid the epic cutters post-January 15th and instead maybe get a couple of “front enders” that CAD into 31F ZR over the interior and 35F along the coast and then we FROPA into a net gain of pack each cycle. That’s the winter where we finally achieve 50-60” pack on the level....of course, there’s always something to “ruin” it whether it is “too cold” like Feb 2015 with higher ratio powder that settles too quickly or the hellacious cutters of 1996 that beat down a 40-45” pack that was primed to crack 50” as it already had pretty high water content going back through those layers of storms from late November, December, and early January. Or 2011 where the music stopped after the February 1-2 storm...then we had a tepid thaw that settled most people back into the 18-20” range and that was all she wrote when the rest of the winter was nickle and dime and Ptype transition events. I did measure over 50” in a few spots in March 2001 but I never thought it was a true 50” pack because I also had spots in the low 40s. It averages out to around 46 but I even re-litigate that because there was such an obscene mess cleaning that snow up that I am never confident it was non-contaminated even 20-30 feet from walks/roads.

Yeah these dews are anomalously low. Add on the dryness of the ground and it’s a very good recipe for MOS being too conservative. This airmass is producing the classic Typhoon Tip “cobalt blue sky” right now

Yeah the big MOS bust this morning well before the high even crests overhead is a red flag. I’m thinking a lot of frosts and freezes the next two nights we’ll into SNE. Prob some more record lows in the rad spots.

Nice. Glad they appear to be gone. You’ll still want to get the remnants of the nest out of there at some point. I’d probably pop the cap off outside and check later this fall on a cold day (just to be safe) and clear out the crap in there.

Let’s go 1995...big mid Sept cold shot and then a torch in first 3-4 weeks of October until a big shift the final few days of the month changed the pattern and locked in the cold for about 10 weeks.

That’s weird that it thinks Monday is colder. The high is still overhead Monday morning but it’s losing some of the arctic punch compared to Sunday morning. I guess MOS is still slightly worried about a bit of wind tonight with the high still west of us.

What’s MOS for CON tonight? I have to imagine the record of 28F is very likely to go down considering how the atmosphere behaved this morning and tonight is even more favorable.

Looks like an excellent weenie spot. A bit over 900 feet nestled in the upslope corridor

No chance for ORH record low tomorrow. That old site just radiated too well. Really hard to beat that site on low temps. 29F record low in 1941...lol.

BOS record low tomorrow morning is 42F. Don’t think we can quite get there. MAV is 45 and MET is 43....but winds light out of the north or just W of due north is a good direction for Logan to try and beat MOS guidance. That’s how they got that random record low in September 2013. I think I recall them beating MOS by 3 or 4 degrees that morning. If they start turning more like 010 or 020 by dawn then they won’t make it.

First record low at CON in September since 1993....first non-tied record low in September since 1985.

Whoa...colder than I thought in a lot of rad spots last night. Tonight may be even colder with more ideal conditions as the high crests overhead.

NAO went steeply negative in October 2009 and basically stayed that way for 15 months. It doesn’t always swing back. Those were the days (really up through 2013) when everyone started thinking that NAO blocking “was the new normal”. Didn’t take long for that idea to bust.

@TauntonBlizzard2013 This is a good weekend to maybe try and kill your yellow jacket/hornets nest that is in your vent piping for the range hood above your stove....esp Sunday morning where you might be near freezing. The wasps will be useless trying to fly out in that cold. You could probably pop the cap off the venting outside the house and check it out. But if it's not a big deal, you could prob wait until November or something after several sub-freezing nights in a row probably kill them anyway.

That's pretty late though it does happen occasionally. I don't have the jaxa dataset handy, but here are the minimum dates for NSIDC extent: 2020: 9/13 2019: 9/17 2018: 9/21 2017: 9/13 2016: 9/7 2015: 9/8 2014: 9/16 2013: 9/13 2012: 9/16 2011: 9/8 2010: 9/19 2009: 9/12 2008: 9/18 2007: 9/17 2006: 9/14 2005: 9/20 2004: 9/18 2003: 9/17 2002: 9/18 2001: 9/19 2000: 9/11 1999: 9/11 1998: 9/17 1997: 9/3 1996: 9/10 1995: 9/4 1994: 9/5 1993: 9/13 1992: 9/7 1991: 9/16 1990: 9/21 1989: 9/22 1988: 9/11 1987: 9/2 1986: 9/6 1985: 9/9 1984: 9/16 1983: 9/8 1982: 9/9 1981: 9/10 1980: 9/5 1979: 9/21