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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. You'll prob still get plenty of snow, but there will be a lot of paste there I think as a chunk of the storm you'll be on the warm side of the CF....so it'll be 32F mash potatoes.
  2. You might have to deal with another round at 00z before the messenger shuffle starts.
  3. I'm going to troll him mercilessly if he doesn't end up in an exhaust zone.
  4. He's gonna bitch and whine his way to a 15" storm.
  5. Usually splitting the difference with the 10 to 1 is reasonable assuming you are on the cold side of the CF.
  6. This always happens to those who are kind of on the line or not very seasoned in this....you get the suicide posts based on zonked meso runs, and then a couple hours later they will all be high-fiving when the Ukie/Euro come out and look great for them.
  7. The delegation met and decided he had to be excommunicated....
  8. This is what I'm expecting...it probably overshot it, but I've been expecting global models to tickle NW for a couple days now. This setup has never looked like a squashed one to me (I was commenting yesterday or the day before how I have never seen an H5 setup like that which went too far south for most of SNE)
  9. You'd prob lose power on the NAM....you'd get like a foot of grease stuck to everything.
  10. I'm ready to play naked twister with the CF on the 3km.
  11. We've seen these tick NW inside of 48....I feel like they usually do it until about 24-30h, and then we start getting messenger shuffle back SE a little bit. Anywyas, this is the NAM, you are always going to get some pretty jacked up solutions from it....sometimes it can lead the way but other times it overshoots the mark.
  12. Really good banding from like PWM to dendrite to ALB this run on the NAM.
  13. NAM needs to get the flaps to 40 and the landing gear locked....coming in really hot.
  14. You won't jackpot if that happens....doubt you end up with 8" of sand though.
  15. The banding sig is all over the place...some runs its over you and others its just NW of you and some of the more suppressed runs like 12z euro yesterday its south of you. There's no way to know that you will be getting some big screwgie at this time lead.
  16. 06z euro looks similar to 00z euro. Maybe even a hair NW aloft but it’s kind of pulled an 18z for the Qpf queens again.
  17. That Ukie upper air looks more robust than 12z. Sfc looked a bit more tucked back west.
  18. I think you’ll get a few hours of ML goodies there.
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