I lost it in Holliston on Saturday. Winter hill kept some cover but grass was showing up in some sun torched spots...pretty sure kevin lost all of his too.
It’s true in this case. Terrain tends to be most important when midlevel forcing is weak. Events where you just see a steady firehose of moisture.
Terrain can enhance or reduce intensity but they don’t cause midlevel death bands.
That's been the most important trend over the past 24h....the WCB maintaining some strength and starting to link up with the CCB where they are in phase more....before, they were almost totally disjointed and separated.
Not the right setup for an ORH jackpot....but it will be a solid hit regardless. Prob 12-15ish. Can't rule out a bit higher if a few lucky bands happen.
Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA.
Cranberry Bog joking aside....there's prob gonna be a secondary jack a bit north of them like near Blue Hill I feel like...maybe back to Foxborough. That typical interior SE MA zone where they will get slammed with lower level CCB stuff tomorrow and get some CF enhancement
Yeah you aren't jackpotting....i agree on that. But you're not going to get 7 inches of sand either I don't think. You're gonna get CCB action tomorrow.
Jackpot for New England might actually be in Litchfield county and adjacent SW MA....combo of big WCB hit before it fizzles and also getting clipped by the ML goodies.
Yeah you can see where the H7 WF is below in red....I put in the likely spot of the ML goodies based off that in the blue area....prob near the 600mb WF in this system.