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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    18z EPS
  2. ORH_wxman
    Never knew about the ethanol issues but I did notice my snow blower choking a bit last storm and was wondering if something was up with the motor. Ill have to try it from now on. There’s actually a gas station in town that sells ethanol-free gasoline.
  3. ORH_wxman
    The WCB on this one has looked kind of sickly on most runs. Not seeing that clean thump look. I think 6+ is going to have to be where CCB actions gets involved (not counting the upslope spots).
  4. ORH_wxman
    18z euro is weak sauce way southeast.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Wow what a weenie run of the weeklies. 2nd half of January is all teed up on that look.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Many of the members must be breaking off a piece of the PV like the OP. I noticed the heights down in Ontario and our region look lower than previously. That’s obviously a good thing....even a little bit of fresh airmass enhancement goes a long ways when you have a block like that. A little more antecedent air can give a lot more wiggle room. Hopefully we see that trend stay on future runs.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Yeah plenty of ant-cyclonic curve on that
  8. ORH_wxman
    EPS looks a bit NW of the OP run.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Yes. We did have a shorter lived block in Jan 2016 but it never got as intense as current model guidance is suggesting this one could be.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Did you see how this run breaks off a little piece of the PV around D4-5 and that actually then gets trapped in S Canada and keeps some decent cold around? You can see it sitting there just SE of Hudson Bay on the map I posted.
  11. ORH_wxman
    dryslot was hanging out with ice1972 this morning
  12. ORH_wxman
    Davis Strait block....
  13. ORH_wxman
    What in the hell is the Euro doing? It's trying to pull a Feb '69 and retrograde it back. Doesn't succeed, but it makes an attempt.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Vort is pretty weak sauce, but it's still tracking into SE NY....so that is still a caution flag for believing a far SE solution.
  15. ORH_wxman
    12z Euro is going to squeeze the s/w more this run I think. The 1/2 system continues to be slower departing than 06z run.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Ukie is mostly a whiff...it gives some snow to CT and MA....it shows rain for SE MA, but I think it would prob be snow as they get into a commahead for a time. But it has sfc temps around 37 so it spits out rain on the clown maps....but 850 temp is like -5 and 925mb is like -1 to -2 so I would say snow there. Doesn't really matter though on a 96h prog.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Why the hell are we posting an 84 hour map in this thread when the event is basically starting in SNE at 78-84 hours?
  18. ORH_wxman
    At least wait until afternoon to hit the egg nog today. It's a long night.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Yeah, title says 3+....guess it could just say 3-4, though ti could linger into Maine until 1/5. It likely starts in SNE on the 3rd.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Yeah it kind of reaches up to ACY latitude and then goes straight east....reminds me a bit of some of those squashed runs from Dec 16-17.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Ukie is way SE....a bit of model chaos.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Yeah get that just a little further SE....the trend is our friend though on the shortwave squeeze.
  23. ORH_wxman
    GGEM came southeast from 00z....more like a berks to dendrite crusher though verbatim.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Vort energy actually gets forced underneath SNE that run....which is why it was really good.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Yeah....and while the high is kind of weak, it is at least there feeding the dry dewpoints into the system to help with evap cooling. Compare this one: With this one (12/5):
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