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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    About 2” total. Wintry appeal at least
  2. ORH_wxman
    Really ripping in this batch. Hoping to clear 2”. Nearly there. Busted event but still a nice snowy evening
  3. ORH_wxman
  4. ORH_wxman
    Nice little blob incoming. Hopefully we can score another half inch or inch out of it. That would actually prob cover any remaining grass blades trying to poke up. We look for the small victories in crappy events....
  5. ORH_wxman
    ANother round moving through. This has been very good snow growth.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Almost an inch here eyeballing. Hopefully some more intense batches roll through. Most of that fell in under an hour
  7. ORH_wxman
    Flood light actually catches it a bit better
  8. ORH_wxman
    Ok this is legit in this little dark echo. Legit fatties and moderate it maybe even heavy snow. Too bad it doesn’t last. Pic doesn’t capture it well but still nice to see
  9. ORH_wxman
    Nice little batch moving in here. Good fatties.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Off and on light snow here. Have a coating so far. Plenty cold to stick with temp of 30F.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Bitching and whining has really become in style on here the past 3-5 years.
  12. ORH_wxman
    I dunno, was looking at 15z run on ewall. It’s prob wrong anyway...but can’t rule out advisory snow quite yet I don’t think I’m spots
  13. ORH_wxman
    Rap goes wild for SW CT later. Give them borderline warning snows. Its from the stuff out in PA developing...that’s what you’ll want to watch if there’s a surprise somewhere
  14. ORH_wxman
    But either way, it screws with the downstream height field. So you get less “curling” from the main shortwave our west.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Agreed. It was not showing up nearly as defined on those euro runs and some other guidance but the NAM was insisting on it. It’s tough though to trust that it’s real all the time because we’ve seen that garbage overplayed so many time on guidance. Even the Dec 16-17 storm had too much spurious convection out east that was causing some of those runs to pull the storm straight east off the Delmarva which ended up a lot different than reality.
  16. ORH_wxman
    What a bizarre system. I couldn’t even tell you why guidance fizzles it so fast from N PA/NY state into SNE. We’ll still have to watch if that stuff holds together better than guidance says and some peeps pick up at least maybe low end advisory.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Just saw it too. When the early 00z guidance came in I wasn’t feeling great. Some of those same mesos are looking a bit better now though....so still gotta think there may be a decent stripe of advisory snow? Vortmax track is pretty classic for it....it’s just we aren’t going to be able to sync up the conveyors so warning snowfall isn’t happening.
  18. ORH_wxman
    GGEM has a nice midlevel sig that actually gets into pets of CT and then E MA later as the big CCB tries to back in. The meat is out of the cap but there is some lift showing up at 500-600mb to the northwest.
  19. ORH_wxman
    V16 came in nicer than 18z. Prob advisory snows for a chunk of the interior.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Ok so the rgem does not agree with the other mesos at 00z. Only ugly black and white maps are out but best i can see is it still has widespread high end advisory snows for most of CT/MA/RI (away from SE coast) I was kind of assuming it would go the direction of the others.
  21. ORH_wxman
    I think the euro will be more correct but I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t spooked a bit. I still think the Synoptics favor something closer to the euro. I think Bob is correct noting that the mesos are chasing some lead crap....whether that’s real or not is hard to say but I usually am skeptical of it.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Just as ugly as the NAM. Long range RAP is hideous too. All the mesos so far at 00z are doing the same thing. I’m assuming the RGEM will join the party here in a minute. The more interesting thing is what do the globals do.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Yeah those are some UGLY runs. Really bizarre seeing this so close to the event when you have the euro much better looking. It’s weird that the midlevel stuff is actually pretty potent out to the west in NY state and then just goes poof as it enters SNE.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Looks like 18z EPS held serve. Might have even tickled slightly west.
  25. ORH_wxman
    I’d like to see the h5 look tighten up just a smidge more to get on board with double digits anywhere outside of downeast. Euro is basically nearly there but it’s just leaving enough slack on the east side of the shortwave to make me worried about losing the baroclinic zone east quickly after the initial midlevel thump that gives widespread advisory snows from CT to MA.
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