ORH_wxman

I guess maybe. I don’t really make a distinction between a coating and an inch at 20 or 25 to 1 ratios…other than statistics on the seasonal snow totals. It could easily just dry out and be a couple hundredths. If we were getting widespread 0.1-0.2” QPF it would be more interesting.

Looks paltry for SNE. It has a little more QPF than other guidance but we’re still talking under a tenth.

Only 13 days to go! The longwave look is quite nice though for that period in the Jan 3-5 range. So we could def cook something up there.

Not bad. That might be the high today…maybe another degree but hard to get more diurnal warming after 1pm near the solstice. BOS will miss their record low max by only a degree or two today. More snow OTG than in 1989 though…

Nice band over mid cape

I could see N ORH county doing better than most in SNE but for the majority it’s a few flakes to maybe a coating.

Might get some brief LL convergence too overnight near the canal. If that happens, could be a brief time of enhancement. Pretty cool that a good chunk of the Cape is gonna get their second white Xmas in 3 years. Many on the cape (including my aunt and mom’s place in Yarmouth) had OES on SW flow overnight into Xmas morning in 2022.

Next one will go south like Jan 2004 and nail NYC while we get an inch of arctic sand.

8F this morning with squeaky snow under foot as I took out trash. December of yore feel.

With that high nosing down, you’re not gonna be able to mix to 50-55 at the sfc very well…so you could get days that are like 38/28 despite 850 temps near 0C or even a bit higher. So it will be above normal but not your typical 50s unless the wholesale pattern changes and we see more westerly or southwesterly flow.

Danger is sublimation, not melting. It’s a dry arctic airmass so you can sublimate an inch of snow in the sunny spots over a few days. It might help if the inch is pasty…more water content will make it take longer.

You’ll be interested in the GEFS too. Mostly because of the subtropics…when was the last time it looked like that?

Hopefully RGEM is right. Gets 1-2” down into pike region and maybe as far south as Kevin. I’m skeptical though. Prob mostly a NNE deal.

Yes reggie is like one of those hitters who goes on a tear and hits bombs and liners every at bat…like Giancarlo in the playoffs. But otherwise he just whiffs 90% of the time, lol. Hopefully it stays on a heater.

Looks worse than it did. Prob just flurries but maybe enough to do a fresh coating. There’s a little vort up in Canada that phases in with the lakes vort and causes all the best forcing to be up north so we’re left with almost nothing. Hope for Reggie to be correct again. That model still has 1-2”. Esp from your area northward.

The common really is awesome when there’s snow during Christmas season. Next few nights are gonna be really awesome for skating on Frog Pond with all the lights and snow.

Nice. You beat my area by a solid inch or maybe slightly more. Makes sense though as the best was to the east of here. Really solid event though compared to what it looked like a couple days ago.

I haven’t had one since 2019. It’s been pretty ugly. N ORH county i think had one in 2022.

Yeah seeing the city of Boston in the jackpot stripe was pretty cool. They’d been getting porked historically bad the last two seasons and this setup screamed of them getting porked again but not this time, they were just barely on the right side of it for once. And getting it just before a cold shot leading into Xmas was a bonus…locking in their first White Xmas since 2017.

Jan 1-2, 1987 was the syzygy storm. That one dumped 18-24” in a narrow band from your area up toward Nashua. ORH had something like 14”…but there was a nice weenie enhanced zone just NW of the ptype issues. There was, of course, an incredible storm tide with that. Not sure if you had previously mentioned you were on the North Shore for that or if it was another event.

EPS is full-on weenie mode the first week of January. We’ll see as we get closer but this is good @Typhoon Tip will like seeing the lower height anomalies piercing the gulf coast…reducing those hyper speed gradients we’ve seen when we have SE ridging…like bouncing a shortwave off a trampoline…more chance to dig on this type of pattern

Threw it in disgust.

You guys will get your due. Sucks for tonight though because I legit thought you could pull a couple inches once you flipped with those good echoes. But the lift just didn’t quite stay big enough there being on the wrong side of the CF combined with being right on the water.

Maybe it’s taking the juice again like it did during its Brady Anderson 2015 season when it nailed every big storm.

Winding down now with just weenie flakes. Don’t think we’ll get much more unless a rogue band forms. Solid event here. Between 3-4”. Can’t complain at all. Sounds like jackpot was from roughly Jerry’s hood near Brookline/Chestnut hill down southwest to Westwood (which might be the point-jack) to prob Foxborough…there was a ribbon of 4-6” (maybe a spot 7”?) in that corridor. Some of the guidance had that exact zone as the jackpot for multiple cycles so they did well. The RGEM had it multiple cycles I think.