ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah anyone north of the meat of thiswon't get much accumulation until tonight....it will just be some shredded garbage. Can't rule out a coating to an inch this afternoon though...esp down by you. I'm expecting jack shit here until tonight.
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Light garbage later on this afternoon, but the meat of the WAA pulse round 1 won't reach there.Struggle to be more than 10-15 miles N of 95.
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Shearing is the issue...the ensembles have a lot of lows well north but they are sheared.
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The steady light to maybe occasionally moderate snow is likely to be in the 10pm to 7am time range for the N CT to BOS area crew....the "start time" is pretty ambiguous because there's going to be a lot of shredded garbage all afternoon and eventually it's going to be a bit more organized into the evening and overnight.
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You can see that stuff is getting shunted almost due east once it makes it up to near DXY. There's a very slightly northerly component to the shield, but mostly due east.
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Too far north with the heavy rates. Gonna struggle to get north of HFD-PVD....light snow will get north of that, but I ain't seeing 1-2" per hour norht of them.
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Pretty good weenie band on the south coast right now
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Reggie improved from 06z....tries to get some weenie ML stuff to regenerate throughout the day tomorrow and into tomorrow night.
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It';s shearing out...so I'm not high on that one...maybe it trends back,.
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Looks pretty solid for SW CT crew...
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Ensembles are quite amped on the 2/26 threat. I'm not buying a mid-atlantic snowstorm yet on that look.
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Overnight tonight could have a few weenie bands further north....something to watch. HRRR tries to reinvigorate some ML goodies tomorrow afternoon too, but that is where other guidance like the Euro has basically been nil.
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SW CT is going to do well in the first round,.
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06z Reggie went back southeast. Kind of looks like the euro. Pretty big model difference for so close to the event though.
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Icon is a lot better too. Quite a sizable move from 18z.
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RGEM is looking better actually. Nice little bump NW.
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Our weather in New England in spring is an utter dumpster fire most of the time....I’d rather have an event give me an inch of snow over 40 hours than entertain the idea of enduring countless wheel-o-rhea days to try and sneak in a few nice ones in between. Anyways, 00z NAM definitely didn’t help anything on this storm. 3km continues to look a little better than 12km.
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That was the 21z run which was quite north of 18z....below is 18z
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Let’s see if others at 00z bump north first. I’ve had this feeling we’d see a bump north with this being a southern origin but obviously nothing is guaranteed. I have also thought the models would play a little catchup on the midlevel stuff. Hopefully that is the case.
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18z Euro was still pretty meh. Looked a little better tomorrow afternoon though down south.
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That def what it looks like. That’s the beginnings of the east slope of the Wapack/Monads. The drier air may be draining down from Maine more efficiently to the east of that.
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It was more than Vernon but the median still had bare patches. It was def less than north of exit 71 in Union where it was fully covered in the median. But exit 68-69 is down around 500-600 feet on that stretch.
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Was in CT today, big difference in pack around Willington/Union....basically once I hit exit 71 going north on 84 all the grass patches in the median disappeared and pack increased until around MA border, then it leveled off before increasing again around ORH. The NOHRSC map shows it pretty well. Pack was much thinner too once south of Exit 68 in Vernon. But it was always pretty much full coverage except the medians/sun torched slopes. It’s just even the medians were snow covered north of exit 71.
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Haven’t been on most of today, but looking at guidance, I still think there’s some upside for that midlevel stuff. I’ll def want to see a notable trend at 00z tonight though.
