ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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HRRR blossoms this stuff more over the next 2-3 hours and has it going decently through this evening. We'll see....if that happens, then some spots could pick up another couple inches...most likely out east, but any lucky bands could produce further west too.
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It's not a full blown torch in the sense that we're getting 65F+ in early March which sometimes happens....but prob several days in the 40s with a select couple that could be in the 50s (maybe near 60F if we go SW wind and clear things out on day?)...EPS shows any 55-60 potential to be around 3/1....prob not up in your CAD mecca, but mabe some other spots more susceptible. Pattern goes back to closer to normal behind that. This could all change of course....its 10+ days out.
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Yeah unlikely that we will keep rolling snake eyes and we cash in on a really good season in the next year or three...but a longer term regression is certainly possible....ala 1972-1992ish....we had some really good seasons in there (late 70s and a smattering in the 80s) but overall the dogshit outweighed the truly good ones pretty significantly.
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You'll be happy to know that ORH will avoid a 3rd below avg season in a row. They are nearly already at their seasonal average.
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HRRR actually weakens it, but if it maintains, it will def get some of the area....it'll be close for your area looking at the trajectory. There's going to be stuff pulsing up and down all day....it prob gets a little more organized after about lunchtime for the final push to get additional accumulations.
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Near 2 inches here. Good refresher so far for the 12" man pack. Hoping to grab a couple more later today/evening.
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ORH avg high on 3/15 is 42F BOS is 45F
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Looks like the pattern may be open to a winter threat beyond the first couple days of March or so....bit of western ridging in that time frame. Doesn't look cold, but it's still early enough in the month that you don't need arctic hounds to produce threats.
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Nice fatties falling
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It would be pretty shocking if you don’t have another 10” storm there between now and mid April.
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18z euro improved but not up to RGEM/GFS levels. But we watch tomorrow.
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I always laugh at just how sneaky Kevin tries to be in getting everyone to talk about a sparsely populated town in northeast CT. Does the passive-aggressive victim play very often. “You guys never talk about bumblefook Connecticut! You only talk about Boston and Worcester and other irrelevant areas like the 495 and 128 belts!”
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The shredder pattern is a bit like an unmanned firehose. You have to thread the needle. We just had a system jackpot Ottawa before today.
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Incoming again for MVY?
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RGEM and GFS have pretty significant snow into tomorrow night. That’s the reason they are kind of going wild on totals. Hard to buy it verbatim but we keep an eye on it.
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Nothing changed materially. I just speculated that the snow might be better organized tomorrow than overnight. I don’t think amounts change.
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I answered you hours ago.
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Weenie flakes here now....
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I was thinking the frozen steak'ums.
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Yeah def not buying that much beef....lol. But a period of steady snow tomorrow that might briefly have some moderate bursts seems like a possibility.
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I'm wondering if the best snow for most of the MA peeps is tomorrow and not tonight. There will be some snow tonight, but it looks like tomorow would be more organized than tonight.
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Depends where you are....I'd go 1-3" for northern areas (like NW MA into S VT/SW NH)....maybe 3-5" for E MA down to N RI....you might be a little more like 2-4 since there could be some enhancement out east that you miss, but hard to say. There's a chance tomorrow could be better.
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Looks like GON to WST getting crushed now.
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Yeah ORH is at 63.9 coming into today.
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Been a pretty decent winter here....I hated the period between Grinch and MLK but can't complain before or after that period. Hoping to grab 3-5" tonight/tomorrow.
