ORH_wxman

Yeah getting blocky again. That would have been a great pattern 2-3 weeks ago.

I got the J&J shot 3 weeks ago and had no side effects other than a sore upper arm for a day. I managed to get it at the local CVS by getting on their waiting list for “no show” appointments. At the end of each day, if they’ve had any no-shows, they’ll have open viles of the vaccine with doses left in there (they have 5 doses per vile). So they either have to throw them away or use them that day. So that is how to get the vax if you aren’t officially eligible yet. You get on the use-it-or-lose-it list.

'Rhea in April around here is as dependable as Ray b*tching about not jackpotting in a snow threat.

Could probably sneak a series in before Xmas too. Maybe a 12/23-12/24 two gamer?

We had flipped to snow by this point...around 10am we flipped.

Yep, if you are someone who might be planning a big event in the summer and need to pony up $$ up front, why would you just assume that there might not be some sort of restriction implemented at any time in the summer? I wouldn't assume that. Based on the trajectory we are on, we should be totally fine by summer, but you never know. You get a little uptick and all of the sudden you see politicians changing the rules on you with little to no warning. Safer to just postpone it until things look more certain. The plus side is that assuming numbers are absolutely cratered by late May/June as we approach herd immunity, you'll probably see a good market for any summer events given the lower competition...so entrepreneurs will have the opportunity to profit on that excess demand.

Yep, tried to give us a nice week for days and now it's showing plenty of 'rhea like the Euro now.

Nothing will beat back this direction in late March 1956. Here's the old Ashland coop not far from me:

@dendrite is pretty knowledgeable on this stuff. Or at least used to be...lol. We are all getting old now. I used to know some good cheap ones back 10-15 years ago but I haven’t kept up. Ambient is a decent company for that price range. I also recall AcuRite being good. I think they still make solid stations in that 100-200 range. If you’re willing to splurge just a little higher, I think you can get a lower end Davis for 250-300.

I just remember ORH didn’t hit 80 until like 3 weeks into July that summer which is ridiculous. I think it was the longest streak on record. They did hit 80F in the spring but then didn’t hit it again until late July.

1992, 2000, and 2009 were the 3 worst. I think 4th of July in ‘92 was like 56 and rain.

Yeah just like the front range for snowfall....lol. They get blasted in September/October or March/April

We're like the snowfall in Colorado Springs for severe wx....our best event of the year might happen before the season even starts.

Yeah the best time of the year to stain is on those uber-low dewpoint days you get in spring before leaf-out. The stuff dries in like an hour when it's 66/28, lol.

Yeah the worst would have been frigid and getting porked like 2014. I did go up to Sunday River that month though and they were utterly buried, so not all was lost. But if you were just down in SNE, then it was blue balls.

Yeah gotta go back to the the 1940s/1950s to see a similar period of volatility......the epic back to back March torches of '45 and '46 and then the frigid '40, '41 and '50 years.

haha

Thought the exact same thing....why do we care if the model is drastically changing at day 7-8 down to day 3-4? That is actually to be expected.

That means this year will be like 2012 too

On the flip side, just keep the dews low and dry out the soil so your drive rolls 150 yards. I hit a 400 yard drive down on the Cape in late June 1999 (very dry that month)...had a 9 iron into the par 5. Stuck it to 2 feet and then missed it.

It's a select cult in here that loves high dewpoints. Most people don't like them. We actually ran a poll in this subforum several years back and lower dewpoints overwhelmingly won. I can't stand them either. Utterly useless unless I'm at a pool party or something. They suck for biking, golfing, hiking, and being outside with my boys in the backyard. I'll take 80/50 all summer long if offered.

Looks like a nuclear crater outside here. Unlike tropical Tolland, we don't have any fragile plants growing yet.

Frost everywhere this morning. Two mornings in a row.

Dec '92 came close....obviously right near the shore didn't get feet upon feet...but you didn't have to go too far inland to get 25+ and then parts of the ORH hills approached 40" (actually achieving 40" in Princeton, MA). I agree you achieve a limit at some point....simple physics of the colder profile holding less water vapor. That said, we're only talking like 1C in the column here for places that got 6" of QPF, so you could certainly envision something like 50" if you get a marginally colder December 1992 storm. There's also likely some sort of asymmetry to reaction of the flow on the colder profile too....meaning, how less likely is a big stall and cutoff when you have a colder profile? Usually a colder profile has more of the polar jet involved which will inherently try to make the flow more progressive. Either way, the theoretical discussion is interesting. My personal educated guess on it is that our upper bound is somewhere in the 50" range. Maybe slightly higher for orographic assisted locations. We've seen amounts near 50" in the 1888 storm back west of here down at low elevation and of course some areas likely exceeded 40" in the '78 storm. You can imagine scenarios where a little more was squeezed out.

Nah, these days we get garbage snow events post 4/15.