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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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I’m usually happy to just grab first measurable in November in the interior. Anything more is pure gravy. Even the first half of December can often be kind of annoying waiting for legit advisory or warning snow threats....but it’s not uncommon even in the good winters that aren’t purely backloaded. 2008-2009 and 1993-1994 come mind. 2010-2011 too.
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Top of the presidentials might be frosted white tomorrow morning. Some snow up there today at the very top.
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Lol....I think Ray would be happier in an 8" storm that he jacks than an 18" storm where he doesn't. -
108 consecutive days in 1970-1971 is the official record at ORH....but 2000-2001 may have challenged or defeated that number. I believe 12/20/00 to early April gets us really close. It all depends on when the official number would have gone to a trace. Too bad we didn't have snow depth records there anymore. May have fallen just short since up at the airport it is not as sheltered and starts to melt out quicker in spring with the sun angle. For total days with at least 1" of depth (not consecutive), ORH's record is 113 also in 1970-1971....the xmACIS site lists 1907-1908 and 1906-1907 as way higher but there is something wrong with the data on thiose years. Didn't pass the smell test as soon as I saw 1906-1907 having 155 days....they didn't even have that much snow that year. Ditto 1907-1908. Sure enough, when I checked the dailies, they looked way off. 1907-1908 actually had 39 days when I counted and then 1906-1907 had an early 7" snow pack unchanged for over a week in November with several days in the 60s plus some rain. It's like they forgot to change the 7 to zero after a day or two. Once I saw that, i stopped scanning.
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75 days officially in 1904. They came close in 2015 but it wouldn't have been official since they don't keep snow depth anymore. But nearby Hingham to the south had 71 days in 2015. edit: I assume you mean consecutive days?
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
He needs a few '88-'89s in a row and throw in another couple 2/1/21 screwjies for his BY and he'll be chomping at the bit for a 3-6" event like Ginxy scans the models at 3am for windex events. -
'94 did have a thaw in late February too before another reload. Yeah the coast got the best anomalies. Interior got hammered too, but not the anomaly that the coastal areas got. But the interior did very well in storms like 1/3-4 and 1/12....and then later on they did well in March.
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Brady is obviously a pretty special circumstance...played for 20 years in NE and is the best of all time.
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As Bill Parcells used to always tell his star players, "the fans don't root for you, they root for the laundry"
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I think there were actually 3 cutters, but they became less ridiculous with each one. The first cutter was the worst I've ever seen.
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Yeah that look would be cold here and probably pretty active. Almost looks like a ‘93-94 but shifted a little east with the PV anomaly.
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Yeah likely. My guess is around the high-end weak to low-end moderate threshold.
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
This is kind of the definition of summer's back broken....we had this huge ridge aloft and the best we could get out of it was a dirty warm sector with temps in the upper 70s. Some other years we'd make a run at 90+ in this type of ridging. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
A couple dozen getting inside already today tells me this is pretty large nest. Probably at least 500 yellow jackets and possibly way more. If you can go outside and see where the nest entrance is and count how often you see them entering/exiting then that will give you a good idea. If you see like 10 or more entering/exiting every few seconds, then you have a massive nest. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
If he rents, then the landlord is obligated to take care of that. I'd prob just call the landlord and say I'll schedule the professional to come in, and I'll just deduct it off my rent next month, or something like that. Assuming you have one or two hundred bucks up front you can spare. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Nope, not with a nest that is partially inside the walls. They can easily last into November, especially if it's not super cold this October/early November. That nest needs to be destroyed ASAP. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
You may want to find where they are getting in from and try and seal that inside opening if possible before you try and poison them from the outside opening....assuming you can seal it without them attacking you. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Most won't relocate a hornets nest. It is typically honey bees that will be relocated and you normally won't have to pay for it on honey bees. If you find a honey bees nest on your property, you usually can get a bee keeper to take them out for free because they are a hot commodity. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Wiz, be careful with yellow jackets...they are very aggressive near their nest. Just because you somehow haven't disturbed them too much yet doesn't mean it won't happen at some point soon...and you do not want to get them disturbed since they can access inside your home. You need to get rid of that ASAP. I'd definitely either call someone or at least order some of the powder. The only thing that worries me about trying to get them yourself is that if you infect their nest from the outside, they may try and go further in your house to seek relief and that is something you do not want. It sucks, but it might be worth just biting the bullet and paying a pro like 100 bucks to get rid of it. -
There's a lot of purchasing of property right now amongst large institutions as a hedge against increasing inflation. It also helps that rates are still very low. The next populist backlash will include wrath against corporate landlords like Blackrock.
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
ORH_wxman replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Thats close to a frost at PQI....maybe some spots there got frosty windshields. -
Our problem in January wasn't the hadley cell....we actually had a lack of gradient. We prob score a solid event or two if we had just a little more gradient. We all remember the close misses. Look at the low heights over the southeast US in January.
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I believe the extent minimum has been reached now that we are almost 140k higher on NSIDC than the 9/13 min of 4.7 million sq km...and the area minimum was reached on 9/1. So time for verification based on the predictions from June NSIDC area..... The minimum area was 3.17 million sq km on 9/1. This places 2021 as the 11th lowest area minimum. The more unique aspect of the area minimum was that it was the 2nd earliest area min on record. Only 1992 had an earlier min than the 9/1 date this year....the min that year was 8/31. The forecast above predicted 3 million sq km so I was a little low on my prediction but well within the error bars. I would consider this a pretty strong forecast. The minimum NSIDC extent was 4.7 million sq km on 9/13. This ranks 12th lowest on record. My prediction of 4.3 million sq km was too low but still within the wider 500k error bars. Extent is notoriously harder to predict than area. The melt conditions in May/June correctly predicted this wouldn't be a top 5 melt season, but somewhat underestimated how much ice would survive. The favorable conditions in late July and August likely aided in some of that extra retention not able to be foreseen at the end of June. I'd still consider it a decent forecast but not as good as the area forecast was. These figures may be revised slightly by NSIDC in the future as is often the case, but the overall standing of 2021 isn't likely to change much at all from any revisions. They are usually very minor.
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Gotta shake the stigma. Most of your huge years have blocking. There's a few exceptions like 2007-2008.