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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. We have like 60 knots rolling in at 850-900 from the northeast so your drift at that point away from radar beam with those velocities is prob like 15+ miles.
  2. This is like the reverse standing wave dryslot there in March 2013. They were perpetually under 35-40dbz
  3. No idea what we have trying to estimate from inside but eyeballing about 10?
  4. Absolutely nuking outside Don’t even want to know how much it’s snowing southeast where it’s even heavier
  5. Seems like the short term guidance is finally picking up the unfolding Firehose over southeast areas…
  6. Starting to really nuke now in this. We’re borderline heavy (little tougher to tell vis at night). Radar looks excellent for a lot of people right now.
  7. Really starting to get steadier and heavier. Wouldn’t call it moderate yet but it’s right there. Def 3/4 type stuff.
  8. Seems a little pessimistic looking at verification right now.
  9. This won’t have near the duration of ‘78 either.
  10. MAUL means “Moist Absolutely Unstable Layer”….it is usually an area of steep lapse rates aloft that can enhance upward lift (like in a thunderstorm)….its why Scooter was joking about an EML getting advected in aloft. When you see that, it increases the chances of thundersnow and very heavy rates.
  11. GFS did its job. Gave us 7 great innings, but it’s gassed now. Bullpen (mesos) can bring this one home.
  12. That 3k NAM was ridiculous. Not a whole lot left to analyze.
  13. Dude’s been chasing thundersnow for 30 years now, lol….i still remember his first one in ORH in Dec 1996.
  14. Interior SE MA is my vegas bet for the jackpot but can’t rule out either upper cape or maybe further northeast on the coast near Scooter….upper cape is warmer but if they get more prolonged convective snows than elsewhere, it might not matter.
  15. South shore anywhere from very upper cape to interior SE MA is def gonna be the regional jackpot. There will be another smaller jackpot out further northwest where the pivot point is…don’t know exactly where yet.
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