AI hasn’t been as consistent as last couple threats. They kind of locked in pretty early on those. Sometimes they’ve shown a hit in this and other times it’s a cape scraper.
I have another analog
https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1989/us0224.php#picture
Ok, just had to get the childhood PTSD out of the way…I do think this one looks better than that one did.
The newer PNS is a total disaster. Can’t see dates and they only have times without AM/PM designation….but it honestly looks like they left a whole bunch of lower reports in there from yesterday before the storm was over. So many of those numbers don’t pass the smell test. They have exactly 2 totals over 20” in Middlesex county and a dozen sub-17” totals.
They are just being slow in updating the PNS. Not sure why it’s THAT slow, but they already announced on social media some of the storm totals so the entire thing is included.
Well you don’t want it to initially close off near ACK because it’s prob not captured yet when it first closes off. You want it to close off near VA/NC and then swing northeast.
We def want this closing off further north. The only mechanism that really brings the low north is the closing off of the upper low itself as it expands. So if you dig it too far south initially, it has more trouble recovering the latitude.