I’m wondering if parts of interior like ORH county fail to make freezing. 18z euro was showing that possibility. Even BOS gets a little cold tuck later at night.
Euro had a nice little weenie band near ORH and the pike. Wonder if there’s two areas…one northern edge near fronto and another down further south where there’s a bit more LL convergence and a little extra ocean moisture.
Yeah improvement at the end. EPS also seems to like the timeframe around New Years for a potential snowier event. Some members have a good thump…OP had a bit too around that time.
Only if you believe a stronger version of the GFS will verify. Even on the GFS solution you aren’t hitting 40s. Maybe the immediate seacoast would but you are inland about 10 miles right? Not a chance west of the CF…and that doesn’t happen during Xmas day either. Would probably be more toward overnight into the 26th.
Definitely possible. I wouldn’t be 100% shocked if a few 2”+ lollis happened in a narrow band even while some areas get almost nothing. Ratios will prob be good inside that band so if someone get a tenth or a little more of LE that could easily be 2”+.
Lol at all the posts waxing poetic about no more cold/snow. Most people probably don’t even realize that 2018-2019 was actually below normal temps….nevermind years like 2014-2015 or 2013-2014
I mean, 0.05 QPF in either direction will make a big deal…lol…difference between going from maybe an inch to a dusting or flakes to getting 2” of fluff. It’s a crappy little clipper that would probably get about 5 posts if it weren’t Xmas Eve.
It’s drying up a bit on guidance but you should still get an inch or so would be my guess. It’s more problematic further east.
Hopefully it overperforms a bit.
I don’t think youre hitting 40s with a weak sfc low traveling south of SNE. Maybe if it’s sunny you’ll hit 40F, lol…but not on Xmas day if it remains cloudy.
You’re prob fine in SE MA….maybe really early morning there could be a few icy spots in interior SE MA.
But most of the ice looks more deeper interior and by Xmas evening it’s mostly ORH county and over to Essex county actually.
Gonna have to watch for ZR Xmas day over the interior. NAM and 3k are both still showing this possibility. Doesn’t look like a lot of precip or anything but with people visiting family it could cause some nasty back road conditions…only takes a little.