ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah that seems pretty fair…1965-66 was technically just under 2.0 (but rounded up to nearest tenth)…so you can see why that one is just strong.
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There’s a difference between one super Nino monthly value and one super Nino trimonthly value….one requires 3 months to average over 2.0 and the other just requires one month. I’ve never seen any strength classification done with ONI that didn’t just use the peak trimonthly value.
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If one ONI trimonthly reaches 2.1C, then it will be classified as super. It seems 2.0C is still technically strong since 1965-66 is classified as strong with a max ONI value of 2.0. But in order to get one ONI trimonthly exceeding 2.0, we’re gonna need these current values to sustain all the way through January. I think that’s going to be quite difficult.
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Measured almost 3” on winter hill to his south so I’m guessing he prob had between 3-4” there before compaction.
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Prob still snowing by Pleasant Mt on Moose Pond where I go every summer.
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The mid-level CAD capital of New England.
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Winter hill in ORH
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They had between like half inch and an inch there before it flipped. Saw pics.
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Can see the snow line pretty easily
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Snowing to your NW in Holliston. Though it’s quite wet here and only just beginning to stick to the grass/mulch. Temp is finally ticking under 34F though now…so maybe we can make a run at measurable in the next hour.
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34F and steady light snow.
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Yeah he was going to block out some time this evening to track this one closely.
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Just make sure that little bit of dry air doesn’t get down into the SGZ.
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Weeklies shifted noticeably colder for the week before Xmas
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We encourage new threads. Start an obs thread. I think quite a few over the interior will at least start as frozen even if it doesn’t last long for most of us.
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Warm sector to dendrite!
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Seems like euro suite has a much weaker MJO wave than the GFS suite. Might be something to watch in how long/intense the thaw is…though their current progged patterns for 12/5ish are pretty similar.
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Is that blizzard24 with a new handle?
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Yeah it’s not that warm between now and Tday…some 38F rain/drizzle after the paste isn’t going to melt much if they end up picking up 3-4”.
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You’d think after this many seasons in New England, he’d learn to understand CAD and not forecast like he’s still on Long Island. Amazing there’s no improvement.
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Sleet wouldn’t surprise me to start where you are. Maybe some brief flakeage.
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Looks about average-ish for Tday. Maybe slightly below avg esp over interior NW high terrain where weak low level CAA will be ongoing.
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First week and last week are nice. Middle two weeks are meh…though some southern stream action may still produce a threat even if it’s not all that cold (see Dec 23, 1997 as an example)
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Guidance pushed the core of the cold to the following week and then lingering into early December whereas about 4-5 days ago, it looked like the core of the cold was Tday weekend with potentially eroding cold late the following week. I know your post is more on the troll-y side but just posting this for those who are interested in the evolution of the changes rather than one-liners.
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I don’t think any precip will have started by 8pm tomorrow. Looks closer to 10pm-midnight timeframe.
