ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah I don't hate that signal....it's precarious (what isn't this year).....but it could produce a nice little event if we track it right. EPS cluster looks half-decent
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Euro might get home with that 2/4-5 shortwave. I’d still watch 2/1 a bit though. There’s been hints for that one. Don’t think it would be a huge event but could produce overrunning snows.
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What is CHH or GYX? Pretty sure to the east of the mountains we've gotten colder than -30
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We actually had a decent shower mixed with snow just go through.
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Yeah I know...but it was still interesting that we had colder 850s in some previous cold shots but didn't quite get as cold in the lower levels as 2016...the core of that cold was centered around 925 I think....I remember we were tracking the top of Stratton and they got down to like -35F
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Delayed but not denied
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A bunch of orchards around here got bad damage from that cold shot. PArticularly the peach trees.
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There was more than that on the ground....we had a decent event on 2/8 and it stayed cold until the arctic shot on Vday. I actually still had a bunch OTG too from the 2/5 event as well. We did get those squalls a couple days before too, but they were on top of existing snowpack IIRC.
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I'm all-in on the OP GFS massive NAO block near the end of the run.
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Yeah a large majority of our cold records are from this type of delivery....for the reasons you stated. Typically the mid-atlantic and places further west will get their best cold shots from down through the lakes (partly because they are too far southwest to get the more northerly delivery), but ours do much better when coming out of that Ottawa/Montreal corridor.
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When was the last time we saw -40C 850 temps make it into New England? Jan 2004? The Feb 2016 cold shot was actually a bit more low-level and 850 temps were "merely" in the -33C to -35C range.
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That is a ridiculous cold shot on the GFS....hopefully we have bare ground for it.
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Yeah, that was insane...I had like 14" but it all fell in like 4-5 hours, lol. EWB to PYM had kind of gotten screwed in the previous two events, so they started playing catchup there....and they got some good events after that when we finally started coming back to earth.
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Yep, sometimes you just catch all the breaks....and that was what happened during that period. The pattern was definitely awesome, but we could replicate that longwave pattern again 100 times and prob not get as much as we did. Though the funyn part is we actually did narrowly miss a bit more too....I recall 1/31 a few days after the blizzard, we lost a storm east that hammered Eastport. But it was briefly giving us like 6-10" on model guidance.
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The coop had 30.5....their largest of all time beating out 1888 by half an inch.
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Yeah I was really skeptical that it was even possible to beat out February 1934...that month was so crazy anomalous, yet we somehow beat it over 70 years later....that's pretty insane. ORH also broke their coldest J/F/M combo by over a full degree. We paid the piper though later that year in December.
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The Ginxy-ORH band was crazy awesome.
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13.5" and +7.6 on temps.
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Oh it’s def looks above normal to me beyond Feb 10th…but not in the same way January was. January (at least until the last week here) had an utter dearth of cold up north….we look to get mild because of SE ridge flexing but the EPO ridge remains intact, at least through mid-Feb…we’ll see about beyond that…which means we still have a cold loading pattern into Canada and N Plains…so even if we are above normal, there could easily be an event or two mixed in when you time your cold shots correctly.
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LOL…this was pretty good
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Not sure when you joined the boards, but he has an extremely long track record (like a decade) of downplaying cold/snow and hyping warmth….think JB in reverse. So he will look good in torch periods even if it’s for the wrong reasons.
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I don’t mind seeing it down there right now.
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EPS has them…but obviously they can go either way. The d6-7 sig was actually probably the best one and not a few days later like the OP run had.
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Looks like the pinger line is near HFD
