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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. As long as people are realistic about this storm, I think at the moment things look pretty good. You gotta let go of the HECS idea though if any of you are still thinking it’s likely…that isn’t happening unless that second shortwave speeds up today and we start seeing that phased solution again. But this can still be a major storm…things need to go right for that. At the moment, I’m just trying to get a minimal warning event in here.
  2. This stuff coming from the east is straight snow. Not a single pellet mixed in with this
  3. Steady light snow mixed with sleet. There’s a lot of dendrites in this stuff. Must be pretty cold below the warm layer with plenty of salt nuclei to produce this type of precip. Temp down to 29
  4. Yeah the block is holding it north of Maine instead of allowing it to just march east.
  5. Rocky IV was on TV a couple nights ago so I was texting with scooter making fun of those analogies about winter.
  6. If Apollo Creed was winter 2022-23 and the -PNA was Drago, this storm is Rocky out for revenge. “I’m seeing change. If you can change, and I can change, this winter can still change!”
  7. 1/27/11 was actually an A. Hit DC pretty good with thundersnow I remember. But it developed relatively slowly down south so it wasn’t maxing out down near DC. More like northern Mid-Atlantic into SE SNE.
  8. I want to see this continue through 12z runs tomorrow before I start chucking weenies. The trend today was obviously very potent and that is meaningful, but there is still enough lead time that average model error from this point can still screw us.
  9. Block is pretty east-based on this storm. Not really worried about big suppression.
  10. Actually picking up here now. Good flakes and sticking to non-paved surfaces.
  11. Your area is still pretty good in Bs though the skunk factor defin it let goes up in them there. But storms like Jan 2011 and Feb 2013 are great examples of crushing Bs there.
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